There is no one recent event that inspires this observation, it’s just something I’ve noticed for awhile.
When you have people agreeing about the problem that has to be solved but disagreeing about what to do about it…I have seen many, many incidents in which the disagreement meanders almost perfectly along the separation between a simple solution and a complicated one. And so we have two intellectually inimical forces, berating each other not quite so much about which solution is likely to work and which solution is likely to fail, as about the nature of the problem they are trying to solve. That’s my first observation.
Examples abound. Violent crime, just for starters; there are those who say where it happens to excess, it is a natural consequence of failing a basic governmental function, which is to separate those who refuse to live by the social contract, from those who could be hurt by them. Lock up the bad guys where they can’t do their bad stuff, and they’ll stop doing it. Others say the root causes are far more complex, having to do with economic issues like widespread poverty, an ever-expanding gap between the rich and the poor, vanishing middle class, historical segregation and discrimination, et al. Simple versus complicated. Not sure there’s much value in fleshing out such a list, but other examples would include: How do you revive an economy, what do we do about global warming, what do we do about the skyrocketing Autism diagnoses in children right now, should we drill-baby-drill…in all these issues we seem to be arguing around the simple-versus-complicated template.
Second observation: It is pretty much a constant that the two sides will slip into a comfortable mode in which each one presumes to carry the mantle of being reasonable, rational, in many cases scientific, and accuses the other of being anti-logical. This one is unsurprising, it is to be expected when people start to argue about things that matter to them.
Third observation, and this is something not often explored, perhaps worth pointing out: The people who argue toward the complicated solution, wherever the disagreement endures for any length of time, even as they pretend to be conducting themselves according to the scientific method, sustain a hostile relationship against the concept of experimentation. This is almost by definition — if you were trying to resolve a disagreement about the proper solution being simple, versus complicated, and set about finding the answer by means of experimentation, the rational way to do it would be to try the simple solution first, right? It seems unavoidable. Well, if you happen to be on the side that insists the solution is a complicated one, think about where this puts you: The other side’s solution is going to be tried out, and horror of horrors it might work! Then what? Well…your options would be narrowed down considerably. You could hope nobody saw what just happened. If the experiment was conducted successfully on just a sample of something larger, which represents the real problem, you could conjure up a danger involved in expanding the scope and pronounce that the experimentation must stop here because it’s just not worth the risk. Other than those, there isn’t much. You can admit defeat, of course, but that’s it.
Notice that the advocates of the simple solution do not have to worry about the experiment reaching an unfriendly conclusion. They get to say, legitimately, that if things don’t work out then there needs to be some minor refinement to what was tried, and then try it again. Like, for example, extinguishing a grease fire with a Class A extinguisher; it’ll fail, but the experiment’s more-or-less on the right track, there’s a detail that needs to be modified. My point is, to the advocates of the more complicated solution, there is no good outcome — even if the experiment “proves” the simple solution doesn’t work, they don’t get to say “Alright we tried it your way, so the answer must be what we have in mind.” Because that’s too complicated, and the layman can see it’s unwarranted. The layman can see it’s only logical to try out the simple solutions first, and if they repeatedly fail, complicate them by increments until you find something that works. It just makes sense. It’s evolution in action.
So the advocates of the more complex solution, have to end up being anti-experimentation. Ultimately, they all end up in the same mode, sticking their fingers in their ears and yelling “I can’t hear you la la la.”
We see this a lot when people, acting as individuals, are free to use their personal discretion and personal resources to try out whatever solution they wish, without being accountable to some larger group. Parenting comes to mind as the best example of this. Many parents find themselves experiencing common problems with parenting, but then you look around and you see there are other parents that do not have these problems. Is that because the parents who do not have the problems, implemented very complex solutions and/or prevention countermeasures? Generally, no; the most effective methods are the simplest ones. This kid’s got a potty-mouth, that one doesn’t, the one that doesn’t lives in a household that doesn’t have cable. Like that.
How do the advocates of the more complicated solution — who, by & large have enjoyed far less success dealing with the problem — respond to this. You might expect they’d say “Huh, I guess I have something to learn here, I shall go home and try out the other guy’s solution.” That would make a lot of sense…but, of course, that won’t happen. And here are my fourth and fifth observations: More theory, this time dealing with separation of the two situations that would make the defined simple solution (conveniently) unsuitable for the environment still laboring under the problem; and, some insults directed toward the practitioner of the simpler solution, along with anyone else who might think it would work. My kid’s as good as your kid but he’s got ADD, and if your kid had the same disability you’d find your overly-simple solution doesn’t work — and, for daring to think it would, you are a slope-foreheaded troglodyte. I am clearly smarter than you are even though my kid’s growing up to be a profane jackass and yours is not…because I see things in a more sophisticated, nuanced way, and you limit yourself to two-dimensional, comic-book answers.
Somehow, it’s eliminated as a possibility that the other fellow might have left his methods simple, because he complicated them only to such an extent that he was able to make things work, and then sensibly stopped complicating them.
That’s your disciplined, scientific thinking at work, supposedly. Obviously it isn’t. But whenever this occurs, and I see it occuring quite often, unfortunately it has become an exceptionally rare happenstance that it gets called out.
As I see each year come and go, I am gradually being swayed toward the notion that advocates of overly complex solutions, that exist in theory, can be seen safely as advocates against any solution being effectively applied. Either they want the problem to continue, or the repercussions of the problem’s continuance are not as much of a concern to them as the preservation of their ego. They want to be viewed as having the “right” solution even though nothing is being solved. They don’t really own the problem, only the solution to it. Which has not been seen to be effective quite yet because…well…at that point, to continue the thought, you have to evaluate each situation on a case-by-case basis.