Archive for June, 2006

Memo For File IV

Friday, June 9th, 2006

Memo For File IV

Not sure what to make of this blog over here just yet, but it looks like something worth bookmarking. It’s well-written, well enough anyway, and the author has the same pet peeves about what we call “science” that I’ve been having. Possible worthy addition to the sidebar. He elaborates on his complaints here and here and here and here. And here too. Seems to be pretty organized about it.

I have come to be aware of a new logical fallacy being used with increasing regularity by the scientific community, and it’s getting even more frequent use with the release of Al Gore’s new movie. I have called this the Hundred Percent Fallacy but it would be more descriptive to call it something like a Fallacy of Faux Unanimity or some such. It is the love-child of the No True Scotsman fallacy and the False Consensus Effect.

It works like this.

1. Global warming is real and it is caused by humans.
2. One of the most persuasive foundations for #1, is that all scientists agree with it (False Consensus).
3. Response: Bob is a scientist, and he doesn’t agree with #1, so #2 is placed in doubt.
4. (No True Scotsman): Bob is not a real scientist, because he doesn’t agree with #1.
5. All scientists who similarly dissent from #1, are likewise eliminated from the pool, so the veracity of #2 is restored.

The Circular Logic fallacy also has strong influence here. #1 is supposed to be supported by #2, but instead it is used to support #5, which in turn supports #2, which supports #1. There is no one single genesis for the support sequence, no beginning and no end. It just goes in a circle.

That’s a problem that deprives the equation of the proof it is supposed to be providing. The much bigger problem, is that conceptually, a consensus has little or nothing to do with proving anything. The majority amongst a pool of concerned commentators is wrong, fairly often. This has always been the case. And even if it hasn’t, what we call “science” ought to be constructed to allow for this. By design, Science-By-Consensus doesn’t allow for such a thing and can’t allow for such a thing.

Update: I don’t want to lose this one to my old-age forgetfulness either. Looks interesting. Also a worthy potential sidebar addition. “Stilettos in the Sand.”

Update 6-10-06: This guy is listing me in the sidebar, so his site deserves nothing less than a serious looking-over. A pursuit which can’t receive the time and attention from me that it deserves, at the moment, but I’ll fix that shortly.

Crusading Against Absolutes

Friday, June 9th, 2006

Crusading Against Absolutes

Joey Vento sells cheesesteak sandwiches in Philadelphia, but only to people who speak English. How ’bout that?

Vento, whose grandparents struggled to learn English after immigrating from Sicily in the 1920s, said his staff is glad to help non-native speakers order in English and no one has been turned away because of a language barrier.

“I don’t see much of a big deal about learning to say Cheez Whiz,” he told ABC-TV’s “Good Morning America” on Friday.

He’s an absolutist. He says if you’re here in America, your loyalties should be to America, and to nowhere else. That’s a little bit too much absolutism for some people, including some goo-gooder on the city council. Way too much absolutism…but hey, what would you call “thou shalt take down thy sign if it isn’t politically correct”? What do you call that? What do you call some artificially-energized drive to clean up any and all 5″ x 8″ placards from a huge sprawling megalopolis like Philly, anything that some busybody council member might not like?

Granted, there are more than a few people think the sign is pretty terrible. One guy in the video clip you may be able to watch, thinks it’s “a little racist.” What a pinhead. What color is English may I ask?

A City Council member jumped into the debate over a sign at one of Philadelphia’s best-known cheesesteak joints that reads: “This Is AMERICA: WHEN ORDERING ‘SPEAK ENGLISH.'”

During the council’s meeting Thursday, Councilman Jim Kenney asked Geno’s owner Joseph Vento to take the small sign down. The English-only ordering sign has irritated some activists in the diverse neighborhood of South Philadelphia and drawn national attention.

“It’s such an iconic institution and business, one that is that visible for many of our residents, for the region and the world,” Kenney said.

Wouldn’t want those activists to be irritated. Asshole.

Watch the interview linked above. Go ahead, watch it. I didn’t see one racist thing slip past this fellow’s lips. Not ONE.

Why should he take down his sign? Go ahead, give me one well-thought out argument. Just one.

Hat tip to Malkin for this one.

Thing I Know #30. A lot of people who crusade against absolutes, employ absolutes quite frequently, especially while crusading against absolutes.

Adios

Friday, June 9th, 2006

Adios

It has been brought to my attention that although I’ve made a handful of oh-by-the-way references to the passing of the late distinguished enemy of America Abu-Masoud Al-Zarqawi, I have not yet taken the time to say what my feelings are. So here’s a brief but profound tribute.

Zarqawi, you’re a vicious bastard, and I’m glad you’re dead.

Check out this clip from Hot Air. Hat tip to the Rottweiler.

Yin and Yang V

Friday, June 9th, 2006

Last month my blogger friend Buck Pennington, in response to my comments about “Scary Peace-People,” was kind enough to direct my attention to video footage of the debate between author, columnist and war-hawk Christopher Hitchens, and the Right Honorable MP George Galloway (transcript). It goes on and on, for nearly two hours, but this was not a problem for me in any way. I was fascinated. Not so much with the opinions that were being proferred by the two distinguished Brits, but with the way they were proferring them. It reminded me of something. Something…I was not sure what.

And two days later, it finally hit me. It was something I wrote about. Back in January, the famous Fox News commentator Bill O’Reilly appeared on the set of famous late-night talk show host David Lettermen, and the two famous gentlemen proceeded to act like a news commentator and a late-night talk-show host, respectively (video).

FoursomeIn both debates, the two contestants spoke to two different cultures. O’Reilly and Letterman both won, depending on whom you ask. And exactly the same can be said about the “Grapple in the Apple” between Hitchens and Galloway.

How does the question of whom you ask, determine who won? Conventional wisdom says audience sympathy determines everything. It depends on which idea was previously embraced, at the beginning of the debate, by whoever was asked. Conventional wisdom is more-or-less correct. But oh, how much more there is to the story. Let’s examine it.

My point back in January, about Letterman, was this: To those of us who are looking for logical arguments in support of thinking a certain thing, Letterman’s “points” rang hollow and they were not designed to ring any other way. This is an observation, not a critique, and it pertains to the performance of Galloway as well. It pertains, furthermore, to Galloway’s previous “testimony” — read “performance” — in front of the United States Senate about documents purporting to prove his interest in the Oil For Food bribes.

Allow me to explain what I mean by “rang hollow.” I’m engaged in a process, a process in which I appreciate other people are not similarly engaged, to gauge the strength of support. I’m not looking for proof, just support, which is a different thing because absolute proof is possible with very few things in human affairs. But speaking for myself, what I try to do is start with what ostensibly is supposed to be supported, and work backwards to find out what’s supposed to support it.

Letterman and Galloway are the two gentlemen who do not want to talk to me, and by extension, their words are not for anyone who does what I do. This is significant. I’ve noted that there are many who don’t do what I do; but there are many others who do exactly what I do. Letterman says we should show more respect to Cindy Sheehan, and Galloway says the documents that incriminate him are supposed to be fakes. And we say, figuratively, “okay I have an open mind; why exactly am I supposed to think such a thing?”

And by the words of the Galloway/Letterman duo, and those who support them, we’re left sucking air.

Then, we are told over and over again, with no small amount of bullying undertone, that Galloway and Letterman “kicked ass” in their respective exchanges. Now, how does that work exactly? It turns out that Galloway and Letterman, engender good feelings among those who previously agreed with Galloway and Letterman; one is given little foundation for agreeing with what they have to say, unless one is inclined to agree with what they have to say in the first place. For their words to compel sympathy in an apathetic mind, or in a hostile mind, or any mind in which sympathy did not previously exist, is simply beyond the design of the comments they have made. It is out of their intended scope. This is not true of the substance of O’Reilly’s comments, or of Hitchens’ comments; those two, clearly, were directing the remarks toward opposition, endeavoring to demonstrate to such opposition why the opposition is a path to nonsense and oblivion, and the interests of those who labor under the opposition would be best served by some serious re-thinking.

This is not absolutely true across the board, of course. O’Reilly and Hitchens can be observed, in both dialogs, to throw a bone or two to their constituents, and make them feel good for agreeing with the O’Reilly/Hitchens viewpoint. My point is that the “hooray for our side” stuff represents an extreme and expendable appendage to the body of their arguing style, whereas with Letterman and Galloway, it is the skeleton and central nervous system. Letterman and Galloway, when you boil their comments down to their fundamentals, really have little else to say. Must, ought, should, and by the way, people who agree with us outnumber those who disagree; and if they don’t, they might as well, because look how loud they are. And there, the pitch ends.

Galloway did offer some meat — a little bit. One of his salient citations, is that Hitchens was once more sympathetic to the Palestinian cause than he is today, and was once opposed to American opposition to Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. This is fact-based, but not strongly so when you consider that Galloway had absolutely no other facts to offer. “My opponent tonight is a flip-flopper” was the extent of his logical argument. Hitchens’ deflection of this accusation, while perhaps driven more by emotion than by logic, was nevertheless brilliant. He simply admitted the inconsistency outright, and chalked it up to learning experiences. Hitchens thought one thing, learned something, and then thought a different thing. Happens to the best of us. But, interestingly, not to Galloway.

It’s fair to say, I think, that other than that one anomaly, all Galloway remarks were designed to galvanize the feeling amongst Galloway sympathizers, and all Hitchens remarks were designed to persuade those who were not Hitchens’ sympathizers. Galloway, consistently, spoke to allies, and Hitchens was pretty steadfast in outreach to foes.

What of the O’Reilly/Letterman debate? I already opined on this five months ago: Letterman conceded. This is absolute fact, endorsed by none other than Letterman himself, but is a matter of perspective. A large chunk of us simply don’t deal in fact. Unbelievably, they “feel” that Letterman “won” the exchange, even as he admitted he was too ignorant to debate “point by point” — because of the snarky snippet that came sailing out of Letterman’s mouth immediately afterward.

I have been instructed to believe, for four years now, that we are having some kind of a national “debate” about terrorism, security, privacy issues, Israel vs. Palestine, etc. Debate, my ass. A debate is a forum in which ideas are exchanged, and that hasn’t been happening for the last four years here. This is a shouting match between two distinctly separate cultures, speaking two distinctly separate languages.

Now, here’s where things start to get really interesting: It would make perfect sense to me if the side that was winning elections, sought to galvanize its base, and the side that was losing them, aspired to win converts. That would be perfectly logical. But what we see happening, is the direct opposite. Years go by, we have an election, public figures who support the war win the elections, and those who oppose wonder how so many of us “can be so dumb.” Then another election comes up and we go back, Jack, and do it again.

This is not meant to imply the elections are all landslides. Most of them are close. Extremely close. I have to believe just a little bit of persuasive, fact-based logic from the anti-war folks, given just a little bit of visibility, and presented with some old-fashioned respect to the pro-war voters, would turn everything around. Well, the anti-war folks can’t do this. If they could, obviously they would. But there is something about “peace” movements, ironically, that sends logic, respect and congeniality on an extended vacation. These are supposed to be things more effectively alienated by war than by peace.

Once again, behold: We have yet another mystery explained, soundly so, by my “Yin and Yang” theory — a mystery that can be explained by nothing else.

“Yin and Yang” holds that there is a fundamental bifurcation in human affairs, cleanly dividing half of us from the other half, by our own consent albeit without our conscious knowledge. Half of us behave as if we live in a world of cause-and-effect; we are always consumed with some kind of project, staking out a territory of things within our control and then getting a “system” to work throughout that territory in a specific way, to achieve objectives we have declared for ourselves. When we are not engaged in such a project, we think and perceive as though we still are. We see the world this way. These people are called “Yin,” and the way we go about interacting with the world around us is confusing and mysterious to many others. Those others don’t see as much of the world as it is, compared to the way they want it to be. Those people are the “Yang,” able to sustain an enviable mind-melding with the emotional state of others around them, ingenious and efficient at communicating their hopes, desires and complaints to others, able to energize a consensus. But not so keen on understanding how systems work, defining areas of influence or manipulating things within that area to achieve previously defined objectives. That just ain’t their bag, baby. Building better mousetraps is for the Yin, who as children, played with Erector Sets and Lincoln Logs. The Yang are better at cheering and booing, since as children, they participated in sing-a-longs while the “Leggoes” and blocks gathered dust in the closet.

You learn by doing. Those who have trouble figuring out which half they’re in, are hobbled by nothing but inexperience. Through the simple process of coping with life, in whatever form one defines that life to be, one entrenches himself more and more deeply in whatever half he has picked out for himself.

Some among the “Yin,” myself included, are blinded from communicating with the “Yang,” or even from understanding them, to the point of serious personal dysfunction. We just don’t get it. People like Letterman or Galloway deliver a “smackdown,” and the crowd goes wild, and we’re left sitting there thinking “what just happened here?” We ask the question that I asked in the “Scary Peace-People” commentary — what is the appeal of this guy? — and the answers we get back have to do with delivery, an elegant “Scottish burr” to the voice, gestures, etc. And we think, but wait a minute; that doesn’t convince me of a damn thing. How does it convince anybody else? What am I missing?

Strewn with Gaping DefectsI keep hearing about how my President has “terrible speaking skills.” Compared to his predecessor, I agree with this completely. The next thing I’m told, is that his policies are awful, and that there is some relationship between his awful policies and his terrible speaking skills — as if the latter somehow substantiates the former. Well, I think you can have wonderful speaking skills and some terrible policies, and vice-versa. But there is a heady school of thought that disagrees. No no, they say, the two go hand-in-hand. How’s that, I’m wondering? Logically there is no correlation between the two.

And indeed, logically there isn’t. Trouble is, logic is an option. A good half of us choose not to opt into it. Delivery is everything, substance is nothing. Of that half, I can ask “give me a thesis seeking to demonstrate why my President’s policies are terrible, and leave his atrocious speaking skills out of it.” And in reply, I’ll get back nothing except a bobbing Adams-apple, as I’ve deprived them of the one tool they could use in this enterprise. To them, delivery decides everything. To those of us who choose logic, of course, delivery decides very little, with the substance of what’s being delivered being far more important than how it’s delivered.

The split I have just described, against our best wishes, is socially all-important. Half of us, can’t productively live with the other half; when we try to do so, each and every point-of-contact across the chasm, produces all the aggravation and acrimony that an invasion would cause. The split, furthermore, to the best I can gather, is unprecedented in human history. In all the ages of humankind, as our species progresses, it progresses together. But not now. I don’t know for sure how we got here, but I got a good idea. It is an evolutionary process. It is tens of thousands of years in the making.

I’ve made no secret of the fact that I believe in evolution. I’m one among many people who believe in God, and can’t see how that is mutually exclusive from believing in evolution. Evolution simply makes good sense. And to understand how it influences people, first you have to consider the forces that evolution place on humankind. To understand that, take a look at the jobs everyone must do. Let’s inspect this throughout the mural of recorded history.

Thousands of years ago, everyone had have some skills at siezing land by force, and preventing the siezure of land already held by other forces. This was a requisite skill for survival, both of each person, and of civilizations. At some point, at about the third millenium before Christ, civilizations began to establish and refine military forces so that this task would be delegated to specialists. By the time the Roman empire came along, some kind of specialist would be involved in invading land and defending against said invasions, while “everybody else” still had to worry about farming. This situation kept up throughout the Renaissance, and was cut short by the Industrial Revolution. At that point, agriculture was delegated to specialists, and “everybody else” still had to travel from one point to another, manage a home, transact business, and take care of assorted odds and ends. Building armor and horseshoes, baking bread, churning butter…all these things had to be done by “everyone” at one time, and throughout the centuries they have been delegated to “specialists.”

As time goes by, more and more essentials are delegated to “specialists.” This is significant, because evolution-related forces act on our species only with things that everyone has to do. But as time goes along, and technology has the effect of delegating these chores to specialists, the assortment of day-to-day work that the commoners must do to survive…steadily shrinks.

Now here’s my theory. In 2006 A.D., we’re at a loggerheads, because the body of chores that “everyone” must do, has been whittled down to — nothing. You don’t need to do a damn thing to stay alive. Of course homes still need to be built, and food must be acquired, but we have specialists to do that stuff. All of it. All that the common man has to do, is pay for it, and to do that all he need to is sit in a cubicle for forty hours a week hitting “MySpace,” moving the mouse around when he hears footsteps behind him so he looks busy. Even cashing the paycheck and buying groceries, can easily be automated, offloaded to a specialist, or both. And to take that final step toward personal obsolescence, in 2006, you don’t even have to be particularly well-off. A lower-middle-class livelihood will do just fine.

To stay alive, you don’t have to do anything. So what’s the next evolutionary step?

We have two choices, and this is why we have “Yin” and “Yang.” The lack of necessity has split us cleanly in two. You may take the “Yin” approach, and choose to exercise skills you no longer need, for the simple purpose of keeping them from rotting away. This is no different from the cubicle jockey who has no call, none whatsoever, to lift heavy objects but still has a set of dumbells and a bench in his garage. You may live down the street from a good, clean grocery store with USDA-inspected lean meat for a $1.99 a pound, and still choose to hunt throughout the season — just because.

Or, you may make the most of our modern Life of Liesure, and resolve to enjoy the good life. Do nothing, except whatever your job demands you do, and socialize endlessly; in so doing, celebrate the sacrifices made by our ancestors, and commune with one another, in ways they never could.

You have to pick one or the other. And you can’t pick both. To make one choice, is to reap the rewards of that choice, and in reaping the rewards of that choice you will be subtly estranged from the other. You live life for the sense of satisfaction of a job well done, or you live it for the sense of fulfillment you get from communing with your neighbors. Nobody, no one I’ve ever met, really does both. Some think they’re doing both. They aren’t.

I remember reading an article about how fewer people were going to school to get into engineering fields. There was a forum underneath the article, and a member of the fairer sex came on, obviously peeved about something. She opined that there was no point to becoming an engineer, or going into any discipline related to engineering. Essentially, her point was that everything worth inventing or discovering, had already been invented/discovered. She had some advice for the fellas: “Drop out of school, learn to rap, and do your crunches.”

Half of us don’t listen to this because we can’t listen to this. How do you turn off your brain, after a lifetime spent using it? In the pursuit of happiness, you can’t do it; if you were happy, but your brain was no longer working and therefore not to be trusted, you wouldn’t even know you were happy.

The peeved rap-crunch maiden is a mystery to me. What is so objectionable about someone choosing to educate himself, instead of learning how to rap? There is something about the “Yang,” I have noticed, that is awfully controlling. The Yin must declare a territory before they set to work on a project, but to the Yang, all things within line-of-site are part of the project, for the project is social.

I learned this when my son started going to school. It turns out that he is even more Yin than I am, and I’m so entrenched within this side of things that my ability to communicate with the other side has been uniquely disrupted. Being the next evolutionary step, of course, he’s even worse. When he was in Kindergarten, his teachers were convinced he was profoundly disabled. Now that he’s finished the second grade, the comments have toned down to the occasional observation that he could use some individual instruction, and oh by the way he’s really smart. But his Kindergarten career was way messed-up.

That’s when I found out about the prevailing viewpoint in the public education system, that education has less-and-less to do with learning as time goes on. Nowadays, “how to socialize with others” is the most important thing. It’s probably not too off the mark to say that nowadays, a child who socializes with his peers but can’t do the work, is a success, and a child who does the work and can’t socialize with his peers, is a failure. A generation ago when I was in school, the reverse was true. I think that was better.

But who is to say I’m right? We live in a time wherein the commoners, in order to survive, need to do nothing. Every vital chore, every activity needed for human survival, including earning that survival, has been off-loaded to professionals. Maybe the educators are right. Maybe the next “evolutionary step” is a bunch of people who can’t actually do anything, and therefore can’t actually think about anything; but they communicate amongst themselves really, really well.

This strikes me as the wrong way to go, but I have nothing I can stand on in arguing that, at all. Nothing except one thing.

From this point forward, it seems self-evident to me that we’re going to have to find ways to be happy together. And these “Yang” who are running around, laughing at the right jokes, getting the “feeling” that 60% of what O’Reilly says is crap just because David Letterman says this is the case, or that George Galloway speaks truth just because of his Scottish burr…all for the purpose of feeling good…they don’t seem to be happy. Quite to the contrary, they strike me as being angry. They’re angry so much of the time, over so little, that I end up wondering how they can function.

Attention WhoresI think conflict is inseparably attached to the way they see the world, although they can’t realize it, even as obsessed as they are with making everyone around them happy. Ironically, the Yin, being far less concerned about making people happy, avoid conflict because their paramount concern is simply to get things done. Look at it this way: A woman’s car battery has died, and a man who is Yin will lend her his cell phone so she can get the help she needs, and thus, get the hell out of his way so he can get his stuff done. He evaluates it the way a businessman would evaluate it: The sooner she gets a tow, the sooner I have my parking spot. A man who is Yang will do the same thing, but for the purpose of being seen lending her his cell phone. Or for getting a date. If her objectives are met, but he doesn’t get the credit he wants, the venture is a failure; whereas the man who is Yin, simply cares about the objectives. Hers must be met, because until then, his own objectives are stalled.

If there is a third-party involved who will also lend the lady a cell phone, the objectives of Yin are met more quickly, while those of the Yang are frustrated. And this is where conflict comes in. Wait a minute, she can’t borrow his cell phone, she’s supposed to borrow mine!

“Supposed to.” See, for the Yin, those two words never apply to the world-at-large. The world is what the world is. “Supposed to” is something that applies only within the perimeter of a given project, and there’s no need to express those words to anyone else unless you’re tutoring them in how to do the same thing. Look at Hitchens one more time. He doesn’t say people are “supposed to” do things a certain way, he simply cautions them against behaving a certain way because the C-SPAN cameras are rolling, and they may end up embarrassed. Consequences for actions, and that’s where the “supposing” ends. His note of caution duly disseminated, the ruffians are free to do what they will. This is not true of Galloway’s remarks. And Letterman, for sure, is not “cautioning” us about how to treat Cindy Sheehan. He’s extolling, exclaiming, imploring, commanding, instructing, and most of all, intoning. “Honest to Christ!” In the world of the Yang, there is no cause or effect, no logic, no thought. Everything is subject to either approval or disapproval. No reason need be given.

Nor will one be forthcoming. Why did Galloway win? Why did Letterman win? The only response that comes back, is how someone felt when he said such-and-such a thing. And oh, the deafening applause. That Scottish burr. Something about goosebummps, maybe. That’s all you get, there ain’t no more.

O’Reilly and Hitchens both made the point, in their respective contributions, about bad things happening when tyrants are appeased and when evil goes unpunished. This makes sense, to us Yin and to the Yin alone — and it seems, to me, to deserve a proper response. Speaking for myself, I’ve long ago given up waiting for one. The four solid years of what is supposed to have been a “debate,” and never ever was one, has netted nothing except for instructions that I should be looking at something else. Well, in my dysfunctional Yin-head, that leaves the issue unaddressed. And the results of our elections make it clear that there are millions of people similarly dissatisfied. Sucking air.

Picard vs. The Tazmanian Devil

Friday, June 9th, 2006

Picard vs. The Tazmanian Devil

This blog, which nobody reads anyway, makes occasional and vague references to the contrast between the two famous starship captains James Tiberius Kirk and Jean-Luc Picard. Perhaps this requires some explanation.

Picard was designated as the successor to Kirk. This worked out great, commercially, not quite so well in the practice of developing the central message of Star Trek. One of the habits Picard had that was particularly irritating to “real” fans of Star Trek, like me, was his infernal habit of negotiating things. Of course, that is a starship captain’s job; it is the job of Star Trek to advance an agenda of talking problems out, preventing their descension into armed conflict. Kirk did this too. Star Trek, from Day One, supported a value system that involved finding common ground and preventing bloodshed over cultural conflicts.

My resentment toward the Bald One had to do with his proclivity for settling upon a strategy of diplomacy unilaterally. Beneath the hairless scalp, he would get an itch between his ears that a lowering-of-the-shields would be the only thing needed to get the discussions underway. In effect, a willingness to talk the differences out, was bound to be returned, boomerang-style, regardless of the alien culture encountered. If I lower the ship’s defense shield, there’s no way that nasty alien would fire on us. No way. What, are they nuts???

And of course it must work, because the Enterprise-D emerged intact every time.

Well for many among us, this didn’t fit in Star Trek lore. In reply to the “are they nuts” question, above, sometimes the answer is: Hell, yes. It’s the final frontier. We’re combing a galaxy; it’s a big thing; of course there’s nutty stuff in it. Kirk took this into account. When he negotiated, his hostiles weren’t so willing to negotiate (although, their command of the English language was quite remarkable) — and so a good chunk of the story had to do with how it became possible to negotiate. And when I say “a good chunk” I mean, pretty much, all of it. One minute for the situation to develop, one minute to beam to the planet’s surface, two minutes for the nameless guy in the red shirt to die hideously, and a minute-and-a-half at the very end for McCoy to make a smartass remark to Spock just before the credits rolled. It’s fair to say every second sandwiched in between, minus commercials, some 45 minutes or more, had to do with why, and how, the belligerent alients were persuaded to talk things out instead of vaporizing the Enterprise out of existence. Usually, the belligerents were transformed into diplomats because of some kind of mutually-assured destruction. The actual talks, were nothing. Zero minutes for those. The story has to do with how the talks came about.

In the Next Generation, the belligerent aliens began negotiating because they were inspired by Picard’s example.

What a bunch of crap that is.

Star Trek is about plunging into the final frontier, and meeting “strange, new worlds” with a method of problem-solving that works everywhere. In Kirk’s time that meant knowing when to hold’em and knowing when to fold’em. This resonates with grown-ups; that does work everywhere. In Picard’s time, the message was that willingness to negotiate works everywhere. It’s contagious. Sorry, that’s just not necessarily so.

Picard would be defeated handily by his opposite. That would be the Looney Tunes Tazmanian Devil, a creature that possesses no high-mindedness, no diplomacy, no sense of strategy, at all whatsoever. He’d swallow Picard whole and spit out the Starfleet logo gold communicator chest-pin and four rank pips, with a loud burp. Why? Because diplomacy is an exchange that can’t be started until both sides agree to it. This was realized in the old episodes with Kirk, but it’s lost in the newer ones with Picard.

Kirk’s way really would work everywhere in the galaxy. In fact, Kirk once actually did take on the Tazmanian Devil. It was a giant lizard-like creature and Kirk built a cannon out of bamboo and blew that sucker away. Kirk 1, Taz 0.

This is a lesson the Bush administration could do some thinking about in negotiating with that “I’m a dinner jacket” guy over in Iran. This is not getting any coverage at all, to speak of; it is terribly important; and it’s just not going well.

Dinner Jacket is Taz, and we’re Picard. All the willingness to negotiate is on our side. Dinner Jacket lives in a world of chest-beating, might-makes-right, etc. Essentially, we’re negotiating with him when he hasn’t agreed to the negotiation process. His message to us, from what I gather, is “you guys just stand there and keep on talking, I’m going to go enrich some uranium.”

Iran’s president said Thursday his regime is ready for talks over its nuclear capabilities, but he sent mixed signals on how much is open for negotiation and suggested Tehran has the upper hand in its showdown with the West.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad repeated Iran’s position that uranium enrichment is an untouchable national right, a clear jab at the West two days after Iran received a package of economic and technological incentives to suspend the program.

But he also offered some signs of flexibility without specifically mentioning the proposal. In a speech at an industrial city, he said Iran would hold dialogue on “mutual concerns” with foreign powers � including the United States � if they took place “free from threats.”

Therein lies the problem with diplomacy. It is an exchange that places a premium value on refined strategy and positive results, but the diplomat with the least-refined strategy obtains the most positive results.

What’s that over there? It’s a pile of Tazmanian-Devil dung with four rank pips stuck in it.

New Theme

Friday, June 9th, 2006

New Theme

No, I still have my old theme. No new theme here. Chad, over at Pass The Ammo, has a new theme. Looks pretty good. Check it out.

“Kip’s Ma” Loses Her Job

Friday, June 9th, 2006

“Kip’s Ma” Loses Her Job

In Atlas Shrugged there is a character called “Kip’s Ma.” Her real name is supposed to be Emma Chalmers, and she’s the mother of Kip Chalmers, a bureaucrat who is placed in a position of high influence because of his blandness and mediocrity. Kip Chalmers was a typical Ayn Rand villain, spazzing out at every little crisis, yelling in a high-pitched panic voice about “Must Ought Should Ought Must Must Must” stuff at the top of his lungs.

As a direct result of people like Kip Chalmers being in charge of things, a train tunnel collapses, flattening some massive number of people in what is referred to as the Taggart Tunnel Disaster. Among the flattened (and exploded and immolated and asphyxiated) deceased, is Kip. Kip is promptly forgotten, while his up-until-then-unmentioned mother is elevated to a God-like status in the bureaucracy of which Kip never could have dreamed. She starts talking, everyone else in the room stops in mid-sentence to hear what she has to say. And why shouldn’t they, her son was killed after all.

This doesn’t work out so hot, since the reason “Kip’s Ma” gets to run around deciding how everyone else is going to live, has little-to-nothing to do with her ideas being any good — it has to do with her son being killed. Long after the last mention of Kip Chalmers himself, and, I speculate, long after anyone would be able to remember a thing about him (nor has “Kip’s Ma” taken the time to mention anything about him), Ma hits on a novel idea: Let’s solve the wheat famine by forgetting about wheat. Wheat is a western innovation, after all, and it emerges that Kip’s Ma has a hostility to such things. Soybeans are the way to go. The orient is smarter than we are about some things, and this has to be one of those things.

The country switches to soy. Kip’s Ma lost her son, after all.

Well, soy has to be handled in a certain way. In this case, the beans were picked too soon. They are green when they’re off the vine, and rot before they are ever edible. Millions starve. Maybe they would have starved, anyway, if they were fed wheat instead of soy. But as things stand, they never had a shot.

Because Kip’s Ma lost a son, after all.

It’s the confluence of several significant events that threaten to cost “Kip’s Ma” — read that as an aggregate body consisting of Michael Berg, Cindy Sheehan, and others — her job. Zarqawi, the terrorist who seems to have personally sawed off the head of Michael Berg’s son Nick, while the victim was still alive, is now dead. The elder Berg thinks this is a sad thing, doubts that Zarqawi was responsible, and instead puts the blame on President Bush. To most Americans, that’s surreal.

Just as we’re trying to come to grips with Mr. Berg’s viewpoint, and probably spending vastly more energy trying to do so compared to what we would spend on the silly and unsustainable viewpoint of a lesser mortal — he lost his son, after all — Ann Coulter points out what privately, we all have known, but something on which publicly, we have kept our silence. The anti-war left selects spokespeople like Cindy Sheehan, who don’t necessarily know anything, but have been affected by personal tragedy. This is a tactic. It is done to intimidate anyone who may be opposed to the viewpoints of the bereaved, from speaking out against them. It may be fair, it may be unfair, but what it definitely is is an assault on truth and logic, for truth and logic are not being used to select the perspective that will carry the day.

Just as truth and logic weren’t used to select soybeans.

In fact, truth and logic have no place in the equation. New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd famously opined that Cindy Sheehan’s “moral authority” is “absolute.” As Charles Krauthammer pointed out, this is disingenuous because it can’t be anything but: That class of parent which has lost a child in the war, is a class that encompasses thousands of bereaved instances, some of whom are in favor of the war. If absolute moral authority is conferred because of membership in this class, how can they all have absolute authority when they disagree?

Maureen Dowd of the New York Times claims that Sheehan’s “moral authority” on the war is “absolute.” This is obtuse. Sheehan’s diatribes against George Bush — “lying bastard”; “filth-spewer and warmonger”; “biggest terrorist in the world” — have no more moral standing than Joseph Kennedy’s vilification of Franklin Roosevelt. And if Sheehan speaks with absolute moral authority, then so does Diane Ibbotson — and the other mothers who have lost sons in Iraq yet continue to support the mission their sons died for and bitterly oppose Sheehan for discrediting it.

Undeterred by such logic, the anti-war left has sounded the call for an all-out-assault against Ann Coulter, and as is typical of anti-Coulter attacks, there is silence where one would expect to find a justification for the attack. Why are we supposed to get outraged against what she said? Of course I’m a doo doo head for asking and a variety of other nasty things; but what’s the answer to my question? As Kevin McCullouch pointed out this morning, it appears that what she said is a hundred percent true:

An interesting point: When the GOP invited widows of 9-11 to participate in their national convention, charges went up from the left of “pure political posturing.” Yet any observer of those who participated would be hard-pressed to know of a single critical thing they said about the president’s opponents. The presentation they made dealt with the need for America to remain strong in its stand against terrorism. Kerry’s name was never even invoked, and their involvement in the public debate ended that night.

The Jersey Girls, on the other hand, have consistently spoken out and advocated on behalf of leftist interests through the 9-11 commission’s findings to the operation of the global War on Terror, the elections of 2004, etc. In other words, they chose, or the liberal Democratic Party chose for them, to enter the fray, to don the gloves and to mix it up.

But what if they’re wrong? What if, even in as much pain as they have endured at the hands of terrorists, the substance of what they argue for is as loony as the day is long? Even if Cindy Sheehan lost her heroic son in the War on Terror, does that now mean that everything Cindy Sheehan says is correct?

Which is Ann’s point.

Ann’s criticism is legitimate. If liberals in America wish truly to have a debate on the issues that we all have strong emotions about, then stand and make the point, but don’t hide behind those who are ineffective, unskilled and often wrong in their views, simply because they’re victims.

And this is kind of along the lines of what I was pointing out yesterday: “Liberals in America” may desire to have a debate about policy, but they are not acting like they do. For one thing, if the debate should include — rather, if the debate should enshrine — those who have their opinions because of the loss of a loved one, let us see the issues advanced by those who have their opinions because of the loss of a loved one. What’s up with these lifetime, or virtual-lifetime, activists? A noisy advocate of the likes of Michael Berg or Cindy Sheehan, doesn’t fill the bill. If you’ve always been anti-war, and one day you lost your child to the war, then the death of the child didn’t change your mind and therefore had nothing to do with forming the opinion. There was no epiphany, no expansion of the horizons, no learning involved, just an intensifying of feeling, nothing more.

Even granting the premise that this status gives him some special authority to comment, and/or knowledge about what’s going on — and that’s an extravagant premise — this would have importance to the rest of us, if and only if Michael Berg’s opinion were somehow shaped by this tragic event. No compelling evidence that this is the case, has ever come to my attention…not once. In point of fact, of all the relatives of military and civilian casualities arising from this conflict, right back to September 11, 2001 — among those grieving relatives who are anti-war now, to the best I can determine, each and every single one of them were anti-war while their loved ones were still alive.

I’m sure there are exceptions to that somewhere. But I don’t know of any. More importantly, nobody’s taking the time to point such examples out to me. “Bob is against the war; Bob’s son was killed in the war.” The implication is that Bob knows more than I do — but that’s logically unsustainable, if somewhere you can’t find a “Bob” who was apathetic about the war…or in favor of the war…and he came to be anti-war after his son was killed. If you found someone like that, then he could talk about this broadened sense of perspective he had, and the things he came to learn as a result thereof, after this terrible tragedy in his family.

We’re witnessing a multi-flank assault that is truly devastating, as we are supposed to. But the multi-flank assault is not being inflicted on Ann Coulter, as the anti-war left intends, nor does the assaulting force have much to do with spicy emotions, as they intend. The assault is on the “Kip’s Ma” brigade and the assaulter is simple common sense.

I have doubts that the “Kip’s Ma” brigade can survive this assault. It could emerge unscratched from a single-front assault; this is what it is designed to do. But an offense from several directions, simultaneously, each broadside attack the product of simple common-sense questions, is bound to peel the support from the movement like the peeling from a banana. Well, all the support save for what is most fanatical. This is the Achilles’ Heel of “accuse the accuser” defenses: You have to have a target to do any accusing at all, so this defense is inextricably intertwined with the single-front assault it is designed to counterattack.

That isn’t what’s happening anymore. The “Kip’s Ma” regime is about to be toppled.

This is a good thing. We never had a good prognosis for surviving them, any more than the starving people in Atlas Shrugged could hope to survive “Kip’s Ma” and her soybean diet.

This Is Good VI

Thursday, June 8th, 2006

This Is Good VI

Oh man, you have got to see this (language is SO unacceptable for a family audience and/or work). I told The One For Whom My Affection Is Unlimited that it reminded me of us. She had some trouble seeing herself in it…but in comparing the little irascible feline creature to myself, she had no problem with that parallel whatsoever.

Hat tip to Boortz, who identified strongly with the sock-puppet creature as well.

Grief Doesn’t Change A Mind

Thursday, June 8th, 2006

Grief Doesn’t Change A Mind

Regarding Michael Berg: I’m about to say something terribly callous. Here goes.

That he is the father of Nick Berg, who was so brutally executed on television, matters not one bit. Not insofar as taking a measure of what his opinion is in the war, and what exactly his opinion means.

I do not mean, by this, that he isn’t suffering from terrible grief over what happened to his son. Nor do I mean that I don’t personally care about his family. What I mean to say is, that as far as his opinions and how they are relevant to the public issues that arise from the current conflict, his status as the father of a fatality matters not one bit.

Even granting the premise that this status gives him some special authority to comment, and/or knowledge about what’s going on — and that’s an extravagant premise — this would have importance to the rest of us, if and only if Michael Berg’s opinion were somehow shaped by this tragic event. No compelling evidence that this is the case, has ever come to my attention…not once. In point of fact, of all the relatives of military and civilian casualities arising from this conflict, right back to September 11, 2001 — among those grieving relatives who are anti-war now, to the best I can determine, each and every single one of them were anti-war while their loved ones were still alive.

I’m sure there are exceptions to that somewhere. But I don’t know of any. More importantly, nobody’s taking the time to point such examples out to me. “Bob is against the war; Bob’s son was killed in the war.” The implication is that Bob knows more than I do — but that’s logically unsustainable, if somewhere you can’t find a “Bob” who was apathetic about the war…or in favor of the war…and he came to be anti-war after his son was killed. If you found someone like that, then he could talk about this broadened sense of perspective he had, and the things he came to learn as a result thereof, after this terrible tragedy in his family.

But I don’t get to hear about people like that. I get to hear about Michael Berg types and Cindy Sheehan types. People who, to the best I can determine, are anti-war activists because every day for years, they have rolled out of bed wanting to be just that — and one terrible day, they became parents of war casualties. Therefore, they became celebrities in a movement wherein they were previously just “movers” of the movement.

It would be oh so much more powerful to find me a parent of a war casualty who joined the anti-war movement as a result. I’m sure such people are out there. But the anti-war folks don’t think it’s important to tell me about them.

In the Coulter video clip I referenced just a few minutes ago, the author presents a theory: Advocates like this are presented by the anti-war movement because in so doing, the movement intimidates their opposition from engaging those advocates. Which raises the question about whether there’s anything to be engaged.

Michael Berg doesn’t think Zarqawi killed his son. At least he says he doesn’t. Is there any compelling evidence to be presented that would persuade me to think Zarqawi was innocent and President Bush is guilty? If there is, then Berg isn’t acting like that’s the case.

Personally, I don’t think Michael Berg has a single opinion, none whatsoever, that he wouldn’t have if Nick Berg was a complete stranger to him instead of his son. Grief, so far as I can determine, doesn’t change a mind. It may intensify an opinion already held, but it doesn’t show any sign of actually changing what that opinion is.

The bereaved-parent status of people like Cindy Sheehan and Michael Berg, therefore, is logically irrelevant to the discussion at hand. There, I said it. It’s true.

Gagged

Thursday, June 8th, 2006

Gagged

My blogger friend Devil Dog wants to know if there’s a problem with Blogger. Hell yeah I’d say so. Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi is dead. Michael Berg, father of Zarqawi murder victim Nick Berg, thinks President Bush is more to blame for his son’s death than Zarqawi. Fox News anchor E.D. Hill doesn’t know what to make of this and frankly, neither do I. Meanwhile, Ann Coulter says, regarding Bush-bashing anti-war 9/11 widows, “I’ve never seen people enjoy their husbands’ deaths so much.” And Matt Lauer doesn’t know what to make of that. Meanwhile, I don’t know what to make of Lauer. His interview subjects aren’t finished answering one of his questions, and he’s already interrupting them with the next question, this proving that no dialog whatsoever is really taking place. Why would you watch this?

Through all these things, each one worthy of comment, Blogger is down hard.

Suggestion: If I were an anti-war blogger, instead of a blogger who believes the Iraq liberation was the right thing that came far too late, Blogger’s various technical issues would cause me to be “muzzled” or “gagged.” Of course I would think this was a conspiracy. In fact, I’d be honor-bound to say so. No such thing as a coincidence, after all. I’d be in dire danger of being kicked out of the “Liberal Paranoid Anti-War Whiny Twit” club, if I failed to articulate the latest conspiracy theory, and show signs of believing it. My dissent is being silenced! It’s probably a conspiracy straight from the office of Karl Rove!

As it is, I know sometimes systems go crash and stop working. If this is something other than a coincidence, it probably has to do with the increased traffic being put on the system by Zarqawi’s meeting with the 72 virgins.

Anyway, it’s good to be back. Glad to see you all here.

The Most Dangerous Generation

Wednesday, June 7th, 2006

The Most Dangerous Generation

Gee, I don’t know if I agree with this MSNBC article

Too old to drive?
Baby boomers are politically powerful and confident of their abilities, and they prize their mobility. And they�re about to become the biggest threat on the highway.

By Debora Vrana

Think our roads already resemble a survivalist obstacle course? Get ready for 2025, when an estimated 40 million baby boomers will clog the left lanes of America, blinkers flashing, one foot trembling over the brake.

Though motorists older than 70 drive far less frequently than other age groups, they already account for an outsize proportion of fatalities, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. The death rate per mile traveled for drivers over 85 is four times that of the 30-59 age group. The only group more dangerous than senior citizens is teen-agers. Senior drivers have special trouble judging speed and distances, which causes an inordinate number of rear-end and left-hand-turn accidents.

I mean, the baby boomers are definitely gonna be hangin’ around. The actuarial tables with send the age of average mortality sky-high in order to accommodate their longer life spans, and my money says the subjects of said tables will outlive even that. There will be few exceptions, so the most-populous age bracket will remain ever thus, even as it turns old & gray, saturated with centenarians. Through it all, they will nurture and fester that sense of self-entitlement for which they have become famous. Take their licenses away? Don’t dare even think of it.

But if the danger factor involving elderly drivers of the future is open to speculation, then the nature of articles portending certain doom is equally open. Such articles, including ones like this one, represent a natural product of our increased standard of living. It seems we always need something about which to worry. Said standard of living is bound to increase over time, so articles like this are bound to become more popular and more plentiful. As far as the danger itself, I have little concern. People will adapt. If it gets really bad, sidewalks adjacent to asphalt will become a thing of the past.

Til Death Do Us Part, I Betcha

Wednesday, June 7th, 2006

Til Death Do Us Part, I Betcha

New website gives you a way to place bets on how long your pal’s new marriage will last. Link goes to article about the website, not the website itself. Sorry.

Alongside their picture is a brief synopsis about them and the options for your prediction: barely past the altar, one year, five years, eight years, 15 years or happily ever after.

The site logs the number of votes on each partnership and then lists percentages on whether or not the couple will get divorced.

Thousands are logging on to the site to take part.

If you’ve a taste for gambling like this, a recently-married friend or acquaintance, and some money to put where your mouth is, go to town, man.

Francine Lost

Wednesday, June 7th, 2006

Francine Lost

Francine Busby, who was discussed here yesterday morning in context of her notorious “you don’t need papers for voting” statement, has lost the race to fill the Cunningham seat in the House of Representatives.

Guess she didn’t get enough help.

As I said, there is some powerful evidence that the Democratic party is counting on illegal aliens to vote, and sure as hell will allow illegal aliens to vote, even push illegal aliens to vote — but this is not that evidence. Frankly, some very high-profile conservatives have recently lost some of the respect they had earned, in my eyes, by jumping all over this thing. Now that Francine Busby is a losing candidate, nothing more, maybe this will go away.

Still, it’s worth noting that until Thursday night when she made the comment, Busby was neck-and-neck with her challenger. That might indicate how excited voters are about the turnstyle-hoppers being allowed to influence our elections. There is value in this, even if Congress is bound to ignore it.

Unintended Consequences II

Wednesday, June 7th, 2006

Unintended Consequences II

Jon Stossel takes on the Americans with Disabilities Act. A must-read, especially for those delusional souls in our midst who tend to be easily persuaded that some of our most insidious hobgoblins can be simply legislated away:

Complicated laws like the ADA eventually hurt the people they were meant to help. The ADA has led many employers to avoid the disabled. One poll found that since the ADA was passed, the percentage of disabled men who were employed dropped. “Once you hire them, you can never fire them. They are lawsuit bombs,” one employer said. “So we just tell them the job has been filled.”

Stossel’s interview with Gilbert Casellas, President Clinton’s head of the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, is absolutely priceless.

There are many more laws just like this, wherein a problem is identified, a law is passed, and the problem hangs around or gets worse as a result of the new law. If government was a business and the law was a project, the project would be put on probation and eventually cancelled. No cow would be too sacred for the slaughter. In fact, in business I have never been privileged to lay eyes on the metaphorical Sacred Cow. They give up the milk, or else they give up the beef.

But laws hang around. Forever; with very few exceptions.

Update: Walter Williams pushes Stossel’s new book, “Myths, Lies, and Downright Stupidity,” with some tantalizing tidbits. Interesting stuff.

Red Cross Evacuated After Bomb Threat

Tuesday, June 6th, 2006

Red Cross Evacuated After Bomb Threat

Yesterday morning I was kibitzing about Theon Johnson, Katrina survivor, who is subsisting on a steady stream of Halloween 5, Gothika, “Thrill Me” marathon, and donated food while he waits for an anticipated cash settlement of $1,200 from FEMA over and above what the agency has paid for his hotel. The hotel room goes unpaid now, but he can’t be kicked out because of New York squatter’s laws. He thinks FEMA should give him more money. No mention of why. No mention of any attempt to find work, in fact, his routine according to the article is one of showering, going to bed, showering, going to bed, and beating his meat to Halle Berry.

Well, since Johnson is a male, at least he’s probably not the Katrina survivor who phoned in a bomb threat to the Red Cross in Savannah, Georgia.

A bomb threat has put some Savannah Red Cross employees on edge. Police say an angry woman called in Saturday and told employees she was a Hurricane Katrina victim. She was upset that the Red Cross had done nothing for her and said there was a bomb in the building.

I really don’t know from the article what “done nothing for her” means. I would assume it has something to do with not paying for hotels anymore. The hurricane’s been gone for awhile now, and I find it a tad difficult to conclude she’s stranded on a rooftop somewhere, neck-deep in spoiled water and feces, phoning in bomb threats.

One of the most persuasive things “conservatives” say to promote their cause over the cause of “liberals,” is that sure people need help but the private sector is in a better position to provide it than government. To galvanize this point, they often mention that the results of government assistance, compared to the results of private-sector charities and other efforts, are…bass-ackward. They’re slow, they don’t work, in many cases they achieve the direct opposite of what they’re intended to achieve, and they promote a spirit of complacency, selfishness and badwill. Compared to that, private charities police their own residual samplings of graft wherever they may occur, so that such graft is checked. Government may not be synonymous with graft, but it is not renowned for keeping it in check. Not only that, but private charities get more bang for the buck. It is not in the nature of private charity, to put one guy in a hotel by the JFK airport for months at a time so he can watch Halle Berry movies all day and night, smoke and drink out his ass, and make petulant demands for more cash. Because the beneficiaries of private charity are encouraged to help themselves in order to qualify for the funds, the charities end up promoting goodwill instead of badwill.

Some people like the public-sector approach better than the private-sector approach. I’m not altogether sure why this is. In my four decades on the planet, I have never heard or seen evidence of the above points being deconstructed or addressed, one-by-one, by the public-sector-yes-private-sector-no folks. The argument that comes back, instead, is limited to simple “we-must” type stuff; something about “the Christian thing to do”; all theory, no practice. Nothing to persuade me, not adequately anyway, to reconsider my viewpoints on the less desirable results of government assistance.

Kind of interesting. You’d think there would have been something by now. Instead, all we see are bomb threats, and a bunch of bums chocking their chickens in two hundred dollar hotel rooms to endless dreck from the boob tube, while hotel managers struggle in futility to obtain a legal eviction.

I supported the Red Cross during the Katrina crisis, and I’m glad I did. To the best of my knowledge, they did an exemplary job helping the people who really needed the help, compared to FEMA. I wonder what the woman’s complaint was. My gut feel is if I were to find out, I’d be less than impressed.

Supporting Francine

Tuesday, June 6th, 2006

Supporting Francine

Back in March, I came to the defense of some half-wit senator in Canada who indulged in some kind of half-wit change-the-subject type of attack on American policy and on President Bush, a change-of-subject that was completely unwarranted and, in the context of what she was being asked, unneeded on her part. She was being asked by a concerned Minnesota family about seal-hunting, and instead of replying the way a rational, red-blooded earthling would reply — “I’m in the Canadian Senate, we don’t decide that stuff” — she went on a tear about the United States foreign policy. A family in Minnesota, which went blue in the last election, has about as much to do with the Bush administration’s foreign policy as a Canadian senator has to do with seal hunting, so she answered air-headed goo-gooderness with more of the same.

My defense of her was that this was no accident. She was making a subtle comment.

I don’t really believe that’s the case; I was being sarcastic.

Well, this time there’s not so much irony here.

Democratic candidate for Congress Francine Busby was asked Thursday night about volunteer efforts in her campaign. She was making a speech to a Latino group, and toward the end of the session a man asked how he could help when he didn’t have papers. After the question was translated into English for her, she replied:

Everybody can help, yeah, absolutely, you can all help. You don’t need papers for voting, you don’t need to be a registered voter to help.

Power Line has more context & comment, and an audio clip. Washington Post has more.

Bottom-lining it real quick: Sorry, conservatives, I’m having a real tough time hopping on this bandwagon. Yes, Democrats have a vested interest in getting illegal aliens to vote, and yes from time to time it becomes demonstrable that they have this interest, and take aggressive action in pursuing it. But this is not the smoking gun.

Or what I should say is it would be the smoking gun, if and only if you proceed from the premise that the only way to “help” with a campaign is to personally vote for the candidate promoted by that campaign. I can’t sign on to that. Looking over the whole exchange, as much of it as I can get ahold of, it seems likely the subject was all the other stuff that has to be coordinated: The canvassing, the envelope-stuffing, the copy-making, all that jazz.

Does it look fishy that you don’t need voting papers to help with that? In my opinion, yes it does. Should it be allowed? Probably not. Is this evidence that Democrats want illegal aliens to vote? Honestly, no…not in the slightest.

They do, though. And I’m sure the evidence is out there. Wait for it. Jumping at stupid stuff like this, is the equivalent of lowering the conservative baseline to the level of the Jason Leopold and Truthout folks — it’s exactly the same practice. You’re frustrated that nobody ever gets nailed on this stuff, so you jump on the anecdote that is only marginally compelling and is logically unsustainable; the appearance you give, is that you aren’t personally invested in the premise that stronger evidence is out there.

Well, I am so personally invested. Democrats will get popped on something sooner or later, and that they’ll get popped this year, seems all-but-assured. I’ll even lay better-than-even odds that Busby will be among the ones popped. I just don’t think it has happened, here, and attempts to exploit this particular event will ultimately backfire. Throw that fish back, get some better bait, and confine your fishing to the posted limits.

Update: Rush has some interesting things to say about this. Where he’s essentially going with this, it seems, is that there is a perception out there that Francine Busby is going to try to win this thing on the strength of the illegal vote. As I said above, my opinion about what’s going on here, is consistent with this perception, although I dsagree with using her notorious quote as a foundation for drawing this.

She’s out there saying she misspoke. She says that she didn’t mean what she was trying to say out there, but she said it. The latest poll on this from Taegan Goddard‘s website is that Bilbray has now moved ahead by a couple points, and this appears to be one of the reasons. This is the final poll before the special election tomorrow for California 50. Survey USA finds that Brian Bilbray has a two-point lead over Busby 47 to 45%. The previous poll survey USA took had both candidates tied…When she says what she meant to say was, “You don’t have to vote for me to help. You can do a lot of things besides vote for me, and I just misspoke,” so she’s trying to slither out of that. But it’s too late. It’s out there, and on the weekend before the election…Remember, the Democrats are already setting this up for her to lose by saying, “She’s going to win anyway. I mean, we win anyway if we’re this close in this Republican a district,” and they did this before this gaffe.

Interesting. Hey I have a radical idea. This will fix the whole problem, and I can’t think of a single reason not to do it. My idea is exactly one word long: NO.

We go back and make Busby’s answer NO. What she meant when she used the word “help,” doesn’t matter. Make it so the answer is NO. If that’s not the correct answer, pass whatever federal laws we have to pass, to make it the right answer. No, you may not stuff envelopes. You may not answer phones. You may not go door-to-door on our behalf. You may not erect yard signs. You have to have voting papers to do any of that stuff, to even think about doing it. If you can’t prove you’re legally here, then you can’t do squat.

Now, what is the best possible argument for opposing that? We have bazillions of real, live, registered, legitimate voters who don’t have the slightest clue what to do in the voting booth and have little-to-no interest in finding out. People on both sides, for the most part, will agree with that. Can we not all sign up to the idea that it is a situation ripe for abuse, when people who aren’t legally allowed to vote, but are passionate about one candidate or another — are allowed to, in some way, “help” the legitimate-but-apathetic voters vote a certain way? Can we not all agree that something should be done about this before something bad happens? Regardless of your ideology or your priorities, how can you disagree with that?

What are you gonna say — these are law abiding people (after they hop the turnstyle) who want to make a better life for themselves and their children by coming here and stuffing envelopes as a volunteer?

Go ahead. Make the argument. I’d love to see that.

Couldn’t Have Said It Better Myself… IX

Monday, June 5th, 2006

Couldn’t Have Said It Better Myself… IX

Quoth Mark Steyn, writing in the Chicago Sun-Times:

If you examine the assumptions underlying speeches by professors, media grandees, etc., it’s hard not to agree with the Wall Street Journal’s James Taranto, that these days America can only fight Vietnam, over and over: Every war is “supposed to become a quagmire, which provokes opposition and leads to American withdrawal.” That’s how the nation demonstrates its “moral virtue” — i.e., its parochial self-absorption.

Last week, Cindy Sheehan said in Melbourne that “Bobby Kennedy was assassinated by the war machine in my country.” This week, Bobby’s son, Robert Kennedy Jr., said in Rolling Stone that Bush stole the 2004 election. Next week, it’ll be something else.

But there is more pain and more truth about America in those seven words of Martin Terrazas. A superpower that wallows in paranoia and glorifies self-loathing cannot endure and doesn’t deserve to.

This is the end of the editorial, the last three paragraphs. To find out what “those seven words of Martin Terrazas” are and what they mean, you have to read the rest. Cool the way I did that, huh?

Gee, That Worked Out Well

Monday, June 5th, 2006

Gee, That Worked Out Well

Every now and then, you’ll hear of one of our society’s more ambitious and progressive social programs defended with anecdotes involving people who’ve worked hard all their lives, who are down on their luck, in trouble through no fault of their own, wanting a hand up not a hand out.

That such people really do exist, is all the more reason to get a case of acid reflux over the story of Theon Johnson. The New Yorker article that describes his tale of…whatever you wanna call it…reads like some bizarre piece of fiction, written between one and four in the morning, by a balding, highly disgruntled conservative-libertarian “gummint’s got no business building fire halls & sidewalks” type. But it isn’t fiction. It’s true.

A Very Late Checkout
New York�s last Katrina evacuees prepare to depart (under duress) from the JFK Airport Holiday Inn.

This winter, FEMA put up over 300 Hurricane Katrina evacuees in New York City hotels. Almost all of them have gone back to their lives, their jobs. But not Theon Johnson. He�s currently sprawled out watching Halloween 5 on one of the two full-size beds in his room at the JFK Airport Holiday Inn. He is one of four evacuees still living in a hotel in the city.

The others left in February and March, when, after spending more than $500 million, FEMA stopped paying for hotel rooms housing some 40,000 evacuees across the country. That left many scrambling for places to live. But thanks to the city�s squatters-rights law, evacuees here were safe. Their rooms weren�t paid for, but since they�d been in them for more than 30 days, the hotels couldn�t just kick them out. Only a judge�s order could evict them.

And Johnson, 49, isn�t that motivated to leave. For one thing, AMC�s in the middle of its “Thrill Me” marathon. Next up, Gothika. “Halle Berry,” he says with lazy lust. These days he�s usually up all night�it�s hard to sleep on an empty stomach. When he has to, he�ll go outside and beg for change, but he doesn�t really like that too much. Most days he just showers and gets back in bed, showers and gets back in bed. Once a week he and another evacuee, a diabetic named Larry, walk to a church off the Van Wyck and get canned goods. When Johnson�s caseworker, Sharon, comes around, she gives him some bus passes and maybe a few bucks, but she�s getting frustrated. “They sit around on their butts watching TV. There�s only but so much I can do if they�re not willing to help themselves.”

After being flown here for free back in September, Johnson�s been at the Holiday Inn since Super Bowl Sunday. On April 21, the hotel served Johnson with three notices of occupancy termination, saying that it would begin court proceedings if he wasn�t out by May 9. He wasn�t, so it did. If the court boots him, Johnson could end up in one of the city�s homeless shelters. He�s been broke for over a month now. FEMA sent him $9,000 in housing aid, but he spent it all on booze, cigarettes, some clothes, and food�partying, mostly. “I spent my money just the way I wanted, and I think [FEMA] should send me some more,” he says. But it won�t. Johnson�s caseworker says fema offered to buy him a ticket home to New Orleans in February, but he didn�t take it. FEMA won�t now. So he�s stuck, at least until the Holiday Inn pays him to leave.

Attorneys with the Legal Aid Society have been negotiating a buyout deal for Johnson and the remaining evacuees, and expect a settlement�he heard about $1,200�imminently. He says he�ll use the money to get a room for a few nights and have some fun before flying back to his little house in New Orleans� Third Ward. But for now, Gothika�s on. “Halle Berry,” Johnson says. “Halle…Berry.”

Holiday Inn. New York City. JFK Airport. The “innernets” tell me, at this date, my “discount” rate for a non-smoking with two double beds is $198 and my “best flexible” rate is $209. (I can’t find a quote for two full beds so I assume it’s the same.) One half of this is $104.50; a third of it would be $69.67. I’ve stayed in some really nice hotel rooms for seventy clams. Actually, I’ve done it and felt terrible about doing it. More than once, I’ve drifted off to sleep thinking I should have been spending $50 or less, after all, I’m just sleeping here.

I would presume the White House and the Department of Homeland Security and FEMA would love to find a few more ways to reassure us that the next natural disaster will be handled better. I would presume Congress would like to find a few ways to provide better oversight to the process. And FEMA, I would presume, would like to find some ways to make the process less embarrassing, and a little cheaper. Furthermore, it is abundantly clear to me, Democrats would like to find some issues for this year’s midterm elections, something along the lines of the whole fiscal responsibility angle.

To all of the above…hello…hello?

I wonder how many of the forementioned hard-working people down on their luck, would just love to have a Motel 6 out in Oklahoma somewhere, provided by a compassionate government for a fraction of the price of a Holiday Inn in New York City. With Gothika playing on the boob tube.

It bears repeating. Irresponsibility is not compassion. It just isn’t.

What About The Gate-Crashers, Kofi?

Monday, June 5th, 2006

What About The Gate-Crashers, Kofi?

Kofi A. Annan, Secretary-General of the United Nations, unintentionally explains in this morning’s Wall Street Journal why James T. Kirk was always a better starship captain than Jean-Luc Picard. The subject is immigration, and Jean-Luc Annan is doing a much better job at barking out orders and making new rules and telling everybody what they should be thinking, than at helping to figure out what to do when people don’t particularly feel up to following the rules.

Ever since national frontiers were invented, people have been crossing them–not just to visit foreign countries, but to live and work there. In doing so, they have almost always taken risks, driven by a determination to overcome adversity and to live a better life. Those aspirations have always been the motors of human progress. Historically, migration has improved the well-being, not only of individual migrants, but of humanity as a whole.

And that is still true. In a report that I am presenting tomorrow to the U.N. General Assembly, I summarize research which shows that migration, at least in the best cases, benefits not only the migrants themselves but also the countries that receive them, and even the countries they have left. How so? In receiving countries, incoming migrants do essential jobs which a country’s established residents are reluctant to undertake. They provide many of the personal services on which societies depend. They care for children, the sick and the elderly, bring in the harvest, prepare the food, and clean the homes and offices.
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As long as there are nations, there will be migrants. Much as some might wish it otherwise, migration is a fact of life. So it is not a question of stopping migration, but of managing it better, and with more cooperation and understanding on all sides. Far from being a zero-sum game, migration can be made to yield benefits for all.

As is the case is many of Picard’s windy speeches, I’m having a great deal of trouble figuring out where the Secretary-General is going with this, ironically, because the epistle is not long enough to communicate to me what exactly the point is. Not that the length of said epistle is the issue. I understand what values Annan wants me to have, just as I understood what values Picard wanted me to have. Immigrants good, xenophobes bad. I get it. But with each paragraph serving exactly the same purpose as the paragraph before & the paragraph after, I don’t follow what he’s really trying to say. One quickly gets the impression that the Secretary-General has taken on the business of solving problems, but has found himself much more fascinated with the process of proliferating values throughout the universe, while the problems remain unsolved.

It sounds very much like a speech that would be delivered by Jean-Luc Picard, to some actor in a colorful costume and foam-rubber mask, representing the Grand High Whatzisface who runs an entire planet, who somehow failed to embrace the values of 24th-century France that Picard thought should have been upheld. What’s your stake in this, Jean-Luc? Kirk would have stood up for the minimalist rights of the downtrodden to not be segregated, exploited or tortured. With evil vanquished, the defenseless defended, lizard monsters fended off with styrofoam rocks and the alien women taught how to kiss, he would have warped outta there and allowed the society to continue governing itself. Picard, paying lip-service to the Prime Directive and the universal right of self-governance, went meddling in the domestic rules of the sovereign system; or meddled in something more sacrosanct than the rules, the values upon which the rules were based. That was okay though, because the bald captain was sure his values were the right ones. Just like the Secretary-General in this morning’s column.

I happen to live in the United States, a country regularly held up to derision by the United Nations, some feel derision for derision’s sake alone, over stuff that is inconsequential — or at least, inconsequential compared to the act of, let’s say, the complete and total lack of leadership shown by the U.N. toward the international crisis involving Saddam Hussein’s old regime. Here in the U.S.A. we’re engaged in an intense debate over illegal aliens. Annan, here, is writing about “migration.” Gee, I wonder if he’s trying to make a comment about our domestic issues. Huh.

And just like a speech by Picard about something that would be none of the starship captain’s business, I’m wondering just as much after reading the last word as I am before the first one. Secretary-General Annan will “summarize research” tommorrow morning that says Immigrants Good, Xenophobes Bad — let’s call it “IGXB.” Why was this research done in the first place? I dunno. Does it have to do with the line-cutting problem the USA is suffering? He won’t say.

He does say something about the turnstyle-hoppers in paragraph nine:

Yes, migration can have its downside–though ironically some of the worst effects arise from efforts to control it: It is irregular or undocumented migrants who are most vulnerable to smugglers, traffickers and other forms of exploitation. Yes, there are tensions when established residents and migrants are adjusting to each other, especially when their beliefs, customs or level of education are very different. And yes, poor countries suffer when some of their people whose skills are most needed–for instance health-care workers from southern Africa–are “drained” away by higher salaries and better conditions abroad.

Nothing about what the illegal-aliens do, just how much they suffer. He affords himself a perfect opportunity to address the issue of people who sneak in the back door, then goes out of his way to duck the issue. That’s all you get on this, by the way. Everything else in the column, every word, every syllable, persists in tossing legal and illegal immigrants into the same stewpot and melting them together, conceptually.

His comments here do have a purpose, I think. After all, the world does have some isolationists in it, and some of them live in the United States, nursing their isolationist feelings about American borders. Some of them have sentiments that border on the xenophobic. Their numbers are modest, however, and their political power is insignificant; perhaps it’s best to shelve the Secretary-General’s report, until the xenophobes achieve significance and we start having the debate he appears to be thinking we have now. Where immigration is concerned, much of the angst that is given voice in my country, my own included, has to do with ensuring that when people come here, they do so according to the rules.

What does your research say about that, Secretary-General Annan? There are a lot of other countries, including member nations of the U.N., which have allowed their border-enforcement efforts to deteriorate into nothingness — in some cases, deliberately. Perhaps the United Nations could perform an international service to those sovereign states by looking into the consequences of ineffectual immigration enforcement.

It seems to me a sensible distinction to be upheld, and given greater weight than you’ve given it here. The U.N. fancies itself to be a body having something to do with international law. Doesn’t it make sense, then, for the U.N. to recognize a fundamental difference between following laws, and breaking them?

That would make much greater sense to me, than to pontificate endlessly, Picard-style, about the IGXB values everyone should be having, while maintaining an evasive silence on how exactly to deal with people who lack such values, and people who break the laws created from such values. Make it so?

This Is Good VI

Sunday, June 4th, 2006

This Is Good VI

Gosh ‘n golly, Van der Leun can really write. He’s just reposted his column “The Name In The Stone” from Memorial Day 2003. Pull up a chair and prepare to be transfixed.

MY NAME, “GERARD VAN DER LEUN,” IS AN UNUSUAL ONE. So unusual, I’ve never met anyone else with the same name. I do know of one other man with the name, but we’ve never met. I’ve seen his name in an unusual place. This is the story of how that happened.

It was an August Sunday in New York City in 1975. I’d decided to bicycle from my apartment on East 86th and York to Battery Park at the southern tip of the island. I’d nothing else to do and, since I hadn’t been to the park since moving to the city in 1974, it seemed like a destination that would be interesting. Just how interesting, I had no way of knowing when I left.

You need to find out how interesting the day was, and why. Trust me on this. Once you get eight paragraphs into it, it’ll be hard to think about anything else. For days.

Flesh! Oh, No! IV

Saturday, June 3rd, 2006

As this blog has observed repeatedly — there’s something kind of strange about people nowadays. Two subjects they just can’t handle in any way, which you can tell by the steady stream of crap that comes out of their mouths when the subjects come up, are these: Terrorist attacks and young ladies in skimpy clothes. Someone who’s just gotten done flinging spittle around the room, pontificating about how a freakin’ hurricane is President Bush’s fault, will act like a terrorist attack is…nobody’s fault. Or, maybe that’s Bush’s fault, too. Or it’s just something that happens from time to time, not a big deal, you’re more likely to be struck by lightning, so don’t worry about it. And certainly, nobody actually went out of their way to get the terrorist attack done. It just happened. Boom, oopsie, move on.

Regarding the young ladies who aren’t wearing a lot of clothes, I strongly suspect that the ones over age eighteen who look decent, aren’t really bothering anyone — it appears we’re stuck in some kind of mode where everybody is pretending to be offended on behalf of everybody else. That certainly does seem to be the case here, in which the male kitchen workers at an all-female Oxford College dorm, are supposed to be “upset” that the student body is showing a little too much, ya know, student body. At beakfast. The male kitchen workers. Article makes mention of the unsettled reaction of the poor blokes, and it’s more than a little strange that the article mentions no blokes, at all, by name or by quote, whatsoever.

Students of St Hilda’s college at Oxford University have been ordered to dress properly for breakfast. Some were arriving for their morning cup of tea wearing the naughtiest of nightgowns. Or pyjamas that left little to the imagination. They claimed that with no men in the all-female halls of residence, there was no need for decorum.

But the kitchen staff – particularly the handful of men among them – hardly knew where to look.

Revealing nightwear best left to the boudoir has now been banned.

The order to cover up has not gone down well with students, however, who claim breakfasting in their nightclothes is one of the privileges of studying at an all-girls college. Arielle Goodley, a 20-year-old English literature and psychology student, received a written warning for wearing a lacy nightie and skimpy dressing gown after the ban was imposed.
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“They are claiming that it makes the young male serving staff uncomfortable, but we know that’s not true. Whenever we’ve asked the men themselves, they say it doesn’t bother them at all. In reality it’s the older women working there who seem to be making a fuss.”

This is abuse of authority plain and simple. There is no ambiguity going on at all — the Dean, Dr. Amanda Cooper-Sarkar, is order, and the hottie, Arielle Goodley, is chaos. Order, and chaos. Yet the thinking individual must tie his brain up into knots in order to take the ravings of “order” at face-value. The men are upset? The men don’t “know where to look?” What kind of men are these?

Arielle, who is chaos, on the other hand makes perfect sense. A bunch of bitter middle-aged old biddies are passing out new rules and blaming their rigidity and insecurity on the men. Who hasn’t seen that before? I normally side against college kids who want to start mini-revolutions the first time they bump up against rules they don’t want to follow…and I’m inclined to continue that informal policy here. But as far as what’s going on, Ms. Goodley’s comments are perfectly rational, and achieve perfect comportation with my own experiences about such things. As far as what’s going on, I have no reason not to believe each and every word that comes out of her mouth.

Especially that part about asking the guys if it’s okay, and being told hell yes!

Now sometimes, it’s only logical to create new rules in certain situations demanding greater coverage and modesty. This may be one of those times. But when that comes to pass, why, oh why, can’t people just put together one or two sentences that are honest & make sense, and use them? Why do they have to spin so much crap?

And what is up with these cranky women with degrees and hyphenated last names? It seems they are disproportionately represented in these teapot-tempests. Jealousy? You’d think the hyphenated female authorities would at least put some effort into making it look like something else.

Welcome, Rottweiler Readers

Saturday, June 3rd, 2006

Welcome, Rottweiler Readers

When I call this “The Blog That Nobody Reads” (see the FAQ, Question 9), the point isn’t to say that nobody reads the blog, since it’s obvious a lot of people do. The point, rather, is to proclaim that this blog is about making sense, not about being watched. One may strive for both, but only one objective can be paramount.

Having said that, however, every now and then it can’t hurt to say a few words about who comes along to draw water from the well from which nobody else drinks. The blog has been kicking ass lately as far as making sense, so the time has come to pay a little bit of attention to — well, to those who pay attention. You folks are welcome, and appreciated, and the meme of calling you “nobodies” is certainly not intended as a slight towards you. FAQ Question #12 makes this clear.

And I’d like to issue a special welcome to the fans of Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler. Not to disparage the other savvy individuals who’ve seen fit to mention The Blog That Nobody Reads…such as the American Digest, Pass The Ammo, Exile in Portales, Running Roach, News Blog Central, Nightmare Hall, Hello Iraq, Blogs With A Face, Mein BlogoVault…geez, hope I didn’t miss anybody. In fact, a big part of the “nobody reads” reference is to subtly acknowledge that in some ways, a lot of ways, your mentioning me is just as important, even if by doing so you yield no surplus traffic to this site at all. You folks have good taste. However many people know that you do, matters not one bit. If a tree falls and nobody hears it, it still makes noise.

I’m truly thankful to you folks, and I don’t mean to write in such a way that you get the feeling there’s a “BUT” coming. There must be one, because credit must be given where it is due. And although issue of exposure is a little out-of-scope for this blog, this is worthy of some comment: Referral-wise, The Rottweiler is a whole new territory for us here. I’ve been looking at the Sitemeter reports, and I’m just amazed. Good golly, Miss Molly.

Here’s what’s been going on. “Darth Misha” listed this blog and gave it some fanfare Thursday night. Not a lot of fanfare, just something in the same ballpark as what I gave him the day before. Throughout Friday, the traffic just poured in. Texas. South Carolina. Virginia. Germany. France. Hawaii. Thailand. It went on and on and on…

…by the stroke of midnight, the traffic of June 2 (PDT) was closed out and we had just b-a-r-e-l-y matched the hitherto-unmentioned “Chevillar Spike” when Erica Chevillar’s swimsuit scandal was written up the weekend of May 12. Barely. “Visits” squeaked out a new record, and “page views” fell just short of the earlier spike. “Page views,” hmmm…you know, that in itself is a little bit of an unfair comparison. We’re talking about an awesome-looking college student in a little red bikini here. I’m thinking “visits” is a more sensible metric, and we’ve just set a record.

None of this is anything to write home about for a better-established blog, nor, for the reasons stated already, is it a central consideration here. So with that note of self-congratulations and salute to Darth Misha — Misha, you’re the man — we humbly submerge back into the waters of the well from which nobody draws, to resume our passion regarding matters of common sense, and our apathy toward how many people are paying attention. Those of you who are new, why don’t you take off your coats & stay awhile, and have a look around.

Foaming Republicans?

Saturday, June 3rd, 2006

Foaming Republicans?

Apologies to Larry Beinhart, for I have done something he clearly didn’t want me to do.

Beinhart’s article was posted to Common Dreams today. It’s called “Foaming Republicans” and it seeks to tell people, presumably non-Republicans, what makes Republicans do the things they do. There is not a single word in Beinhart’s angry screed about how he comes to know the things he does; I’d like to presume he stopped some Republicans in the street and asked them, or failing that, conducted some kind of survey, or maybe a study. I could presume that, I guess. It would be purely a matter of faith.

Except for one thing. Beinhart says Republicans have a “fear of dark people.”

Fear of dark people is the impulse that�s most denied. Overt racism is rare indeed. Though the spectacle of Fox News�s John Gibson urging white people to have more babies lest the lesser breeds outbreed us, came close in his smiley, Christian way.

This is where I did something Beinhart didn’t want me to do. I watched the clip to see what Gibson had to say. And what he had to say was this.

To put it bluntly, we need more babies. Forget about that zero population growth stuff that my poor generation was misled on. Why is this important? Because civilizations need population to survive. So far, we are doing our part here in America but Hispanics can’t carry the whole load. The rest of you, get busy. Make babies, or put another way — a slogan for our times: “procreation not recreation.” That’s “My Word.”

There’s not a word in what Gibson said about white people having “more babies lest the lesser breeds outbreed us.” Nothing that even comes close to the sentiment. Nothing to even imply that white people are in some breeding competition with non-white people, nor that they should be. None of these things. Sorry, it’s just a fact.

Bottom line, you can take what Gibson said as being racist, if & only if you read things into it that aren’t there. This is like pronouncing a ball as incapable of rolling down the hill, if only it is square, when it isn’t.

I don’t understand what the purpose is of Beinhart’s litany. It seems to be an education for liberals on what makes conservatives tick. I’ve encountered a lot of liberals; very few of them are the least bit intimidated about probing conservatives, interrogating them, out-shouting them, conducting inquisitions on them — and, failing to extract the confessions they seek, just coming to whatever conclusions they want about the conservatives anyway. So I fail to understand the demand.

Perhaps the article was posted not because of intensity of demand, but because of intensity of supply. Therapy for Beinhart himself, in other words. If that’s the case, one has to wonder what kind of value such words would have, for anyone.

Pardon my “foam.”

Unintended Consequences

Saturday, June 3rd, 2006

Unintended Consequences

Interesting read from the online opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal this morning. The subject is Sarbanes-Oxley, Congress’ magic bullet intended to stop the Enron mess from ever happening again. The Journal has taken a consistent position against this new oversight, claiming the regulatory cost to be high, and the benefits to the public to be sparse at best, since Enron’s shenanigans were the exception rather than the rule from the very beginning.

Now the appeal to investors is getting skewed. The market of publicly-traded equities is down, or stalling, while privately-held concerns are up, as are the foreign stock markets.

Behind much of this trend is basic economics. Hedge funds, pension funds and endowments are all looking for new places to invest their mountains of cash, and private equity has been offering some impressive returns. Corporate management, meanwhile, far from running from these new barbarians at their gates, often see a financial upside. With capital abundant, the cost of borrowing low and return on equity soaring, why not?

But that’s hardly the whole equation. At least part of the strength of private equity is a direct result of the problems besetting public markets. Public-to-private deals are in fact lengthy and costly and can lead to unpleasantness with shareholders–often via lawsuits. The fact that so many companies have nonetheless been willing to take the plunge speaks volumes about how eager they are to escape the increasing burdens of public-company regulation.

Sarbanes-Oxley has been the last straw for some, with its auditing and reporting requirements imposing major new costs, especially on smaller companies. This has already played a part in the remarkable slowdown in U.S. initial public offerings. Today’s largest IPOs are taking place mainly on foreign markets, away from the reach of U.S. regulators. New York Stock Exchange CEO John Thain understands this as well as anyone, which is one reason for his $20 billion EuroNext purchase.

I’m looking around, and I see that overall the economic climate is doing pretty good. But wherever there is a business, it’s a big-big-big business. The startup, the spinoff, these seem to almost be a thing of the past. And that’s a sad thing when you stop to consider how much of what we have today, we owe to businesses like those. We may very well have just killed the goose that laid the golden egg.

Hundred Percent Fallacy

Friday, June 2nd, 2006

Hundred Percent Fallacy

God bless Roger Ebert, who has been my favorite movie critic, and will be again. Although I disagree with his politics, he has done his job well, and throughout my entire adult life I have read his movie reviews before all others, in an erstwhile attempt to avoid throwing away nine-bones-per-scalp-plus-snacks on a crappy movie.

Nobody else can be counted on to give me a more reliable measurement of which movie was made with some real passion and fun, and which movie is just another “gotta make a boat payment” movie. Besides, the name “EBERT” can be typed while you hold a mug of beer in your right hand. As can the name “FREEBERG”.

But he’s really screwed the pooch here.

I can safely say that before I have even seen “An Inconvenient Truth” because — and it pains me to say this — whatever uncertainties I have as I begin reading Ebert’s review about whether the movie’s any good, I still have those uncertainties when I’m finished. Ebert’s assessment of what kind of experience is to be had from viewing the film, comes out in this:

This is not a boring film. The director, Davis Guggenheim, uses words, images and Gore’s concise litany of facts to build a film that is fascinating and relentless.

That’s all you get, twenty-eight words. Nothing more. Every other paragraph of the review, every sentence, each syllable, is consumed instead with the issue of whether Ebert believes in MMGW (this blog’s acronym for Man Made Global Warming) how much he does, and how important he thinks it is. That’s really all I know from reading this. Er, that’s not the question at hand, Roger. You didn’t do Job Number One. Bad Roger!

What Ebert has ripped off from the practice of reviewing movies, by forgetting to do his freakin’ job, he has gifted to the practice of philosophy, for he has illuminated a previously little-talked-about logical fallacy. Let us call it the “Hundred Percent” fallacy.

Gore says that although there is “100 percent agreement” among scientists, a database search of newspaper and magazine articles shows that 57 percent question the fact of global warming, while 43 percent support it. These figures are the result, he says, of a disinformation campaign started in the 1990s by the energy industries to “reposition global warming as a debate.” It is the same strategy used for years by the defenders of tobacco. My father was a Luckys smoker who died of lung cancer in 1960, and 20 years later it was still “debatable” that there was a link between smoking and lung cancer. Now we are talking about the death of the future, starting in the lives of those now living.

Did you catch that? A hundred percent of scientists agree with Al Gore. When you really look into it, Roger and Al will freely confess the real quotient is 43, not 100 — but when you discard the scientists who disagree, we really are talking about a hundred percent. Put another way, the viewpoint is unanimous when you ignore everyone who doesn’t go along.

And you should, because everyone who doesn’t go along is bought-off by the “energy industry,” or influenced by someone else who is similarly bought-off. This premise, upon which the entire argument depends, is not substantiated anywhere and cannot be substantiated anywhere. We pretty much pulled it out of our asses. But trust us, “everyone” agrees with Al.

A trivial point? That is up to the MMGW people to decide. It hasn’t escaped my notice that one of their most important arguments, probably the keystone without which the entire structure would crumble, is the “overwhelming” number of scientists who agree with global warming. Quantity over quality. It’s good to know about the shenanigans that are being pulled in measuring that quantity, so thanks for that if nothing else.

Now would someone kindly step up to the plate and write some movie reviews? It is summer, after all, and if I’m going to poison the environment with my charcoal barbeques and burpin’-&-fartin’ and driving to hell-n-gone, it would be nice to have a movie or two to watch.

Thing I Know #97. There is always someone who believes what I’ve been told “nobody believes,” and there is always someone who contests what I’ve been told “everybody agrees.” Quite a few of both, actually.

Irony

Friday, June 2nd, 2006

Irony

Next month I’ll be forty. If you are my age or if you have some years on me, you may be able to appreciate the irony of the following. If you’re younger, you probably can’t.

I don’t need to go reaching ’round for lots of stuff, the irony is all contained in one single, two-line headline:

Poll: Bush Worst President Since 1945
Ronald Reagan Picked As Best President In Nationwide Survey

(CBS) President Bush has been named as the worst president since the end of the World War II in a new national poll.

Mr. Bush was chosen by 34 percent of the voters who participated in the the Quinnipiac Unversity survey. Richard Nixon finished second with 17 percent — just ahead of Bill Clinton with 16 percent.

Ronald Reagan was the top choice as best president, with 28 percent. Finishing second was Mr. Clinton with 25 percent.

The poll reflected deep partisan divisions. Mr. Bush was ranked worst by 56 percent of Democrats and 35 percent of independent voters but only 7 percent of Republicans.

Reagan, on thew other hand, was named as the No. 1 president by 56 percent of Republicans and 25 percent of independent voters but only 7 percent of Democrats.

“Kennedy and Truman get big Democratic votes, especially among baby boomers (45 – 64 years old) and seniors (over 65), but recent memory counts,” said Maurice Carroll, director of Quinnipiac’s Polling Institute.

“Democrats say Clinton’s the best and Republicans say he’s the worst. Republicans don’t think much of Jimmy Carter either. There’s no contest for the GOP favorite: It’s the Gipper,” Carroll added.

The Quinnipiac University poll was carried out from From May 23-30 and surveyed 1,534 registered voters nationwide. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

I do not know how old the 1,534 registered voters were. The reason I think it is an important question, is that it wasn’t so long ago that Reagan was the “worst president” in recent memory.

Will Bush pull out of this slump the way Reagan did? In my opinion, it borders on the pre-ordained. When one looks for a broadly-encompassing, consensus-based justification for the current president’s unpopularity and what endangers his legacy, one emerges with a notion that President Bush is apathetic to the warm reception, or lack thereof, toward the decisions he is in the process of making. In other words, it isn’t that people abhore his decisions, it’s his lack of sensitivity to the prospect that people might abhore those decisions.

And yet…of all the figures from the past upon whom history has smiled, this is the trait they all have in common.

Including Reagan.

Now, this is a far cry from saying if you want to emblazon your name into the history books, the best way to go about it is to go ’round pissing everybody off. That is a different thing. It’s also quite different to take a “whatever” attitude; a “here’s a quarter, call someone who cares” attitude. History is a little more stingy in picking out characters like that, to admire (although it has done so on occasion).

President Bush, like the figures remembered favorably by history — including Reagan — simply responds to a higher ideal. He responds to primitive notions of good versus evil. And he is excoriated for doing so; interestingly, by people who have no passion at all in debating what’s good and what’s evil, and confine their angsty reservations to the simple recognition that there are such things.

Well, I know of no reason to denounce the current president for such notions, and spare Reagan from similar besmirchment. I know of no justification for doing this, and I strongly doubt any among the 1,534 have such a justification in mind. In short, there is no conceptual, sustainable difference between these two figures. The only real difference is the two decades that separates their dates of service.

Like I said, President Bush’s vindication is pre-ordained. Reagan once said so, about himself, in so many words: “History will vindicate me.” This was my tip-off that the old man had really lost it. He turned out to be right. I’ve learned my lesson.

Is there any one figure who must everlastingly wrestle with his condemnation, and must forevermore earn a hard, jaundiced staring-down from history, for the infraction of caring too much about good-and-evil and not enough about what people around him thought? I can’t think of a single example. Not one. Nobody’s offering such an example, but plenty are trying to assert that President Bush will be the first. I find that more than a little extravagant.

Thing I Know #64. You know you have courage when you see the flimsiest spoiler of fortune decides if history will focus on your breathtaking stupidity, or your enormous balls.

Bubble Of Unreality

Friday, June 2nd, 2006

Bubble Of Unreality

I was waiting for someone else to cover this. It’s being done, but the attention paid is far, far below what I believe is appropriate.

In the photo to the left is a picture of some guy who was almost elected President in 2000, someone whom many believe really ought to be the President, after six-year-old election results in Florida are invalidated due to vague shenanigans. His name is Al Gore and he’s produced a movie called “An Inconvenient Truth” about the world coming to an end because of man-made global warming (abbreviated, on this blog, as MMGW). You can tell this is an extremely serious, life-threatening global emergency, because of the way Mr. Gore is yucking it up on the set of Current.tv. Tee hee! We’re all gonna die!

Well, it turns out Mr. Gore is ushering in a climactic disaster of his own, this one creating a massive hole in the ozone layer of truth. This is deliberate. While breathlessly awaiting the release of Mr. Gore’s new movie, Grist Magazine sat down and had an interview with him about MMGW, what it is, how to stop it, how to get people motivated, and oh by the way does he plan to run for President again. Boy, that is one hard-hitting interview.

The subject came around to how, exactly, does one go about getting the message out to people that MMGW is a real thing and that something has to be done about it. You know, how to get people motivated. And Virtual President Gore had quite an interesting bombshell to drop. He conceded, readily, that in his position there comes a point where you have to choose between a sincere presentation of the facts, and motivating your intended audience to do what you want them to do. And surprise surprise, he opts for the second of those two.

Q. There’s a lot of debate right now over the best way to communicate about global warming and get people motivated. Do you scare people or give them hope? What’s the right mix?

A. I think the answer to that depends on where your audience’s head is. In the United States of America, unfortunately we still live in a bubble of unreality. And the Category 5 denial is an enormous obstacle to any discussion of solutions. Nobody is interested in solutions if they don’t think there’s a problem. Given that starting point, I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the audience to listen to what the solutions are, and how hopeful it is that we are going to solve this crisis.

Over time that mix will change. As the country comes to more accept the reality of the crisis, there’s going to be much more receptivity to a full-blown discussion of the solutions.

Let me see if I have this straight. Over time, we will become more receptive to the notion of MMGW and to strategies for doing something about it, and at that point it will be okay to level with us. But until then, we live in a “bubble of unreality” and the only way to pierce that bubble is to…I want to adhere very closely to what he’s saying here…”have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous it is.”

We live in unreality, so the only way to get through to us is to lie to us.

Well clearly this is not an across-the-board thing, because Mr. Gore believes in an under-representation of what needs to be done, when it comes to relocating the people who live on our coastlines, inland, lest they wake up to a foot and a half of seawater in their living rooms. To the best I’m aware, he hasn’t called for anything like that, although he certainly should be expected to if one takes his claims seriously.

So Mr. Gore, I’m gathering, is selective about when to oversell the MMGW schtick, and when to undersell it. So a chunk of this thing, at least, has nothing to do with science and everything to do with showmanship. That much is proven. How big that chunk is, I’ll leave it up to readers to form their own opinions.

I’ve formed mine.

Hat tip on this item, to Maggie’s Farm, by way of FARK.

Seen

Thursday, June 1st, 2006

Bill O’Reilly made an interesting point about the Haditha incident:

…some Americans, including many in the press, honestly feel that the Bush administration is evil and its policies have led to Abu Ghraib and now to Haditha.

You’ll see this line of thinking all over the place in the coming weeks, but that’s like saying if one child turns out to be a criminal, the entire family’s bad. Most honest people acknowledge that the U.S. military has performed heroically and humanely under extremely difficult circumstances in Iraq and Afghanistan. Since President Bush is the commander in chief and Donald Rumsfeld’s in charge of military operations, don’t the heroics of our service people reflect well on them? If you blame Bush and Rumsfeld for the bad stuff, shouldn’t you praise them for the good stuff? Wouldn’t that be fair?

Now I suppose you could say no, Bill, it wouldn’t be fair; the heroics of the military forces are credited to those military forces alone. But then it’s awfully hard to intellectually support that the White House is to blame if/when those troops are caught torturing prisoners or murdering civilians. The point is, intellectual sturdiness demands either both or neither — hair-splitting finds a comfortable home only in the nurturing of a politicized agenda, not in the making of a reasoned argument.

It should be noted, however, that the anti-war left is two steps ahead of O’Reilly on this one. The evil that men do lives on long after them, so to speak, while the good is buried with the bones. The bad stuff leaves a far deeper imprint. Because of scandals like Abu Ghraib and Haditha, so goes the argument, America is seen as an agressor. As a tyrant. As a conquistador. This argument is easily understood.

Less easily understood is who is doing this seeing. We are seen…by whom? Who are those people seeing us this way?

I don’t mean to imply that such people do not exist. What I mean to do, is simply to ask the question that logically must be asked before the argument is admitted into what may be seriously considered. I mean to question, simply, who the “seers” are. It’s a reasonable question, since the argument is demanding I let those people decide everything, and resolve that anyone having a different viewpoint, is allowed to decide nothing.

To “google” the phrase “We Are Seen” is an interesting experience, somewhat akin to sipping from a fire hose. On May 13, this blogger said the following:

Now, in Somalia, al-Qaeda linked Islamicists are seen as the nations only hope against the civil wars of the warlords. The Islamicists are seen as they only chance for stability and we are seen as a destabilizing force.

Who sees us that way? To consider the point seriously, as I said above, we must know. Is it all of someone or a majority of someone? The blogger does not say.

A reader writes to the Times-Herald Record, New York, on May 7,

This administration has created an atmosphere in which we are seen as the imperialistic bully to many of our one-time allies – our soldiers are portrayed as torturers.

The author of the letter does not say who sees us that way.

Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-VT, helped on March 28 to solve the mystery for me. The entity that sees us this way, are “alarming numbers of people”:

After 9/11 there was an outpouring of sympathy from every corner of the globe. Today, we are seen by alarming numbers of people as an aggressive, occupying bully that locks up innocent people indefinitely, humiliates and physically abuses them, and denies them the right to even know what they are accused of.

This is problematic. Alarming numbers of people hold viewpoints that are illegitimate, faulty, lacking in potential, and just plain wrong — all the time. Ask anybody who’s ever been in the minority about any issue.

Alice Slater, the anti-nuke activist, commenting on the 60th anniversary of dropping the bomb on Hiroshima, said

Breaking our promises for good faith efforts for nuclear disarmament in the Non-Proliferation Treaty, refusing to submit the Comprehensive Test Ban to the Senate for ratification, trashing the Anti-Ballistic Treaty to clear the way for dominating and controlling the military use of space–and spurring a new arms race to the heavens, developing new more useable nuclear weapons and planning to replace all the thousands we already have, we are seen as the nuclear bully, lawlessly menacingthe world with our might like some mad cowboy nation from the Wild West, while actually going to war without legal authority and slaughtering tens of thousands of innocent civilians under the false premise that Iraq was a nuclear threat to America.

Again, we’re a “bully.” Ms. Slater didn’t say specifically who sees us that way.

“Zero Political Capital” commented on July 15, 2005,

Not surprisingly, the world opinion of the United States is still pretty negative. We are seen throughout the Muslim world as a bully and a threat to Islam, and while the numbers aren’t as horrific as they were two years ago when we first invaded Iraq, they are still cause for concern.

Ah, we have a specific now: the Muslim world. How much of the Muslim world? “Thoughout” could mean 80%…it could mean 20%. The number must be something measureable — the text says so — but I don’t know what it is. How do we know what the number is? Was a poll taken? None that was discussed here.

John Dear wrote, in a column that appeared July 10, 2005,

Half the world considers the United States the leading terrorist in the world, by our public spokespeople remain clueless about what�s really going on. We are seen as terrorists by many around the world because we bombed and killed 100,000 people in Iraq in 2003, and because we have over 20,000 weapons of mass destruction, (many of them in my neighborhood in New Mexico), which we are willing to use on any nation that does not support “U.S. interests.”

There’s that magic phrase again, about us being seen a certain way. This time the entity so envisioning us, seems to be “half the world.” Zowie! That’s some kind of a poll! Well, nobody asked me.

Just before the elections of 2004, Manuel Valenzuela, writing for the Dissident Voice, said

Rightly or not, the last four years under the House of Bush have imputed Americans of all creeds, colors and classes with the personality of the man who expropriated the White House away from democracy, freedom and liberty. Worldwide, we are now seen as a nation of attention-deficit robots devoid of world knowledge or concern for anything beyond our borders. We are seen as selfish, gluttonous warmongers and imperialists concocting wars for profit, empire building and market colonialism, all at the expense of the rest of the world. Americans have become, in the eyes of the people of the world, easily manipulated and controlled beings living lavish lifestyles, distracted by bread and circus, and having cheap products through developing country slave labor and resource exploitation and pilferage.

The people of the world. There’s that worldwide poll again.

Perhaps Valenzuela was drawing for inspiration from Jesse Jackson’s comments on the 50th anniversary of the Brown v. Board of Education ruling:

Our moral authority is born of the last 50 years of successful struggle by human rights and civil rights organizations. We were trapped on our own perverse use of power. In the Second World War we began to gain some. We were seen by the world as rescuers; now we are seen as invaders and occupiers and conquerors. We are choosing might over right. We are losing something dear. When I went to meet with the president of Sudan to challenge him about the humanitarian crisis � about 1.5 million people will die unless something happens quickly, and we need the U.S. to help � they said, “We don’t need your help. Based upon your presence in Iraq you don’t have the authority to tell us what to do. You invade and occupy and now you seek to conquer, you bomb thousands and you call it collateral damage, you cannot tell us what to do.”

Okay, now we have another entity to attach to this: the President of Sudan. Fine, the President of Sudan has an opinion, the President of the United States has a different opinion. Cool. Everybody has opinions. Why is it that the President of Sudan has an opinion, and suddenly, his viewpoint becomes the viewpoint of “the world”?

Stephen Bosworth, Dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts, included in his address on the second anniversary of the September 11 attacks, the following:

In addition to what our response to September 11 has meant for us internally, I am even more concerned by what is happening to the relationship between ourselves and the rest of the world. In the weeks after September 11, there was a tremendous outpouring of grief and sympathy for the United States from virtually the entire world. Now, just two years later, that has changed dramatically and everywhere there has been a surge of anti-Americanism. We should, it seems to me, ask ourselves why this has happened and what we might do about it. We are seen as almost unimaginably powerful. But we are also seen as being frightened and therefore unpredictable. That combination is in turn frightening to the rest of the world, and the United States is now feared to an extent never before experienced.

There’s that “rest of the world” again. It sounds so much like someone took the time to go knocking door-to-door, which obviously could not have been the case.

There’s still more. And now, you see something interesting start to take form as you move further backward in recent history.

According to this blogger, sometime before March of 2004 the mideast editor of Newsweek had another epiphany about how we are “seen”:

A certain number of “facts” are apparent, but they have to do with sandstorms, troop movements, unforseen attacks by paramilitary Iraqi loyalists and unexpected events. The war is clearly more difficult than it was made out to be beforehand, and we are seen by many Iraqis as imperialist invaders rather than as humanitarian liberators. The mideast editor of Newsweek pointed this out last night on the NBC news.

“Many Iraqis.” Okay, that’s a specific, but the conclusion drawn has some problems. By this time, the opinion of “Iraqis” was acknowledged, by pro-war and anti-war people, as being mixed; Iraqis thought we were aggressors, and others thought we were liberators. Is it possible one of these mindsets can be completely legitimate and the other one is so much poppycock? I suppose it is, but not if you’re establishing a viewpoint as legitimate, just on the strenght of “many Iraqis” upholding it. Either that’s a sound test, or it isn’t. Obviously, to say “Idea A is a good idea when ‘many Iraqis’ sign onto it, but Idea B still sucks no matter how ‘many Iraqis’ agree with it,” is to push a political ideology — not to seriously and fairly consider the merits of A and/or B.

Moving back in time further, closer to the September 11 attacks themselves, we see something interesting. It seems a lot of this “seen” stuff comes from a sentiment that prevailed soon after the September 11 attacks, from the school of thought of indigenous guilt, the “we had it coming” mindset. Don Belt, senior editor of National Geographic magazine, touched on this in an interview from early 2002:

I think that we are seen as arrogant and bullying in our approach to the Muslim world and especially the Arab world. A number of the stories in The World of Islam touch on that point. The story on Pakistan in 1991 that Bill Ellis wrote…is an excellent reminder that a lot of times this tendency to blame the United States for the evils of societies�whether it’s impoverishment or whether it’s hopelessness�is a pervasive factor in these countries and has to be dealt with.

Google reveals that this isn’t a pervasive factor just in those countries, but in Portland, OR as well. There is this sermon from the First Unitarian Church just a couple weeks after the attacks:

Just as we are called to find the goodness that has come in response to the attacks, we also have to at least try to know what has caused a group of people to do these horrible things. One of the awakenings for me has been how we as Americans are so terribly isolated from the rest of the world and these attacks have been a wake-up call to see how at least some people in the world view us. We are seen as the big rich bully with all of the power. Our actions in the past have played a part in what is happening now.

There is a point to all this, and it isn’t a pretty one. When you say something is “seen” a certain way, you may pack a powerful punch in intimidating people toward your point-of-view, but you prove very little. What you’re really saying is that someone, somewhere, whether you name them or not, has a certain opinion. And this says, precisely, nothing. That’s the long and the short of it — nothing. Back in the olden days before we invaded Iraq, it was an important ramification to be considered, or at least, might have been. In my view, it was a realistic, pragmatic approach to say “think twice about invading Iraq, because we are seen as xxx and the message sent will make this a lot worse.” I still agreed with invading Iraq. I still agree with it now. But I agreed then, and agree now, with taking into account what the perception would be from outside. There was wisdom in this. A lot of bad decisions, have it in common with each other that they became bad decisions when someone forgot to consider the messages sent in executing them.

With that decision a thing of the past, this principle has fallen away into irrelevance. The “seen” argument has lost all meaning as a tool of diplomacy, and retains use only as a tool of inference: We must be invaders, and we must be bullies, because that is how we are “seen.” Well, moose feces on that.

Whether you’re generalizing over a world, part of a world, a country, a faith — it’s wombat-rabies bollywonkers crazy to say people within the class you’ve defined “see” things a certain way. Five people will have five different perspectives — five thousand, will have that many more. To define a single perspective to which all in your defined class will cling, is a foolhardy ambition, one which reality is sure to confound. That’s the first problem. Second problem is, human history is just one big chronicle of people seeing things other than the way those things really are. Human affairs are recognized for what they are, even by those you would think to be close enough to assess them accurately, about as often as a football bounces rightside-up. As an indicator of what’s going on, human perception…pretty much sucks.

Give me an opinion, no matter how nonsensical you make it out to be, someone, somewhere, has that opinion. To point out simply that someone has it, therefore, is tantamount to saying nothing at all. Not that someone isn’t willing to waste time and breath pointing it out anyway. I have an impressive collection up there of “we are seen” quotes. It is just scratching the surface, believe me.

My point is simply this: It’s past high time someone was called to account for who is doing all this “seeing.” I mean, given how much weight the rest of us are being expected to put on these opinions, nurtured as those opinions are, by people we’ve never met.

Thing I Know #50. The decisions we make out of a sense of fair play, an appreciation for fun, a sense of responsibility, a sense of concern, and even a sense of entitlement, we sometimes remember fondly. The decisions we make out of guilt, we never do.

Deception Is The Common Theme

Thursday, June 1st, 2006

Deception Is The Common Theme

At a time when we are definitely split between “right” and “left” but there is so little agreement on what it means to be “right” or “left,” it’s always interesting to dissect what happens when one side declares victory. This post over on DailyKos says halfway down “just to clear some things up here…” and by the time the things are cleared up, things are more confused than they were to begin with.

It all started when Rush sniffed out a scammer on his show in the middle of a call.

Rush: To Oceanside, California. Jack, glad you called sir. Glad to have you on the EIB network.

Jack: Rush, John Kerry said about Vietnam, “No one wants to be the last one to die for a mistake”. Incidents like Haditha will make it impossible to achieve the goal of creating a democracy in Iraq that is friendly to the United States. Rush, are you now willing to admit that Iraq is a disaster, a mistake and it is time to bring the troops home? Unless you in your arrogance are willing to send more of young men and women to their death…

Rush: (talking over Jack) Hey Jack, Jack Hey Jack! Jack! (deadens Jack’s mic) Tell us all your real name, will ya? And tell us where you really live… Tell us who you really are Jack… give us your real name. And, also… you might want to tell us when you’re gonna be in Las Vegas – that’s coming up soon isn’t it?

Jack: (bewildered) What? What’s that? I don’t even know what you’re talking about.

Rush: Yes you do. Tell us you’re real name. You are an imposter. You make a habit of calling programs and reading prepared speeches like this gibberish that you’ve just shared with us making demands of me. So tell us who you really are Jack, I want to know you’re real name.

Jack: Well you know, you’re just displaying to your audience that you can’t answer my question.

Rush: No. What I’m displaying to my audience is that I don’t put up with liars and frauds on this program. You don’t have to lie to get on this program, and when you do, your time is cut short. Why should I give credence, why should I respond and descend to your level to answer your silly, non-sensical, biased, agenda-oriented questions? I’m not going to waste my time. Just tell us who you are Jack and tell us where you really live.

Jack: Well, uh, you know… I think you’ve lost your marbles.

Rush: uh, no Jack… I’m in full possession of all three of my marbles…

Jack: I have no idea what you are talking about. You need to address what I just said.

Rush: No, I don’t need to address a damned thing that you just said, Jack

[crosstalk]

Rush: You are a fraud and I don’t have to address anything. I will address things on my own time in my own way, but I am not going to allow some low-life to put me on the defensive and make me assume the position of defending a position tha I don’t even know is true based on just your simple assertion. I’ve given you three chances now to come clean, to be honest and tell us who you really are… uh… I happen to know who you are Jack and if you try this one more time I’m going to blow you’re cover so that everybody else knows who you are and ruin your little scam that you’ve got going out there.

My question is, who exactly has lost their marbles? Who is suffering from delusions of grandeur? The guy who wrote the post, Mike Stark, says “Rush thought Jack was me.” There is much in the post to indicate Mr. Stark has been making a habit of calling talk radio shows under false pretenses…nothing, nothing whatsoever, to indicate Rush thought Stark was the guy calling. Stark says “Jack was really Jack,” but there’s nothing to indicate that either — and furthermore, what Stark says is “some great comedy” depends on Jack being a scammer, and thus, presumably, not really being Jack.

I just find it interesting what goes on right before someone on the left-wing declares victory. Deception is a common theme — someone is always deceived. Michael Moore makes persuasive arguments that depend on the audience not taking the time to research what he’s talking about; Bill Clinton says he didn’t have sex with a woman he did, in fact, have sex with; liberal spammers call Rush’s show pretending to be someone else. Jon Stewart takes some incoherent babbling of the President out of context and plays it on his own show.

The pattern seems to hold that whenever liberals exchange high-fives and pats on the back, a presentation has just been made of something, with a crucial disparity between what was displayed and what really was.

What events culminate in “conservatives” idolizing one of their own? I notice it has to do with being a stalwart. Nobody held Reagan up to worship — or vindication — because our fortieth president found creative and ingenious ways to present things and make them look like something they weren’t. Reagan is remembered, by those who approve of him, as someone who confronted political resistance over his ideas, and faced down the resistance with a minimum of compromise. Ditto for Newt Gingrich. He said what he was going to do, he got in, and he got 90% of it done. Now, some think the remaining 10% is all-important, and others don’t like what was done. But deception had nothing to do with Gingrich’s claim-to-fame — it was about overcoming obstacles and staying true to an agenda previously defined.

This Mike Stark guy seems to have an interest, which is shared among most liberals, in eschewing reality. And you can see how it hurts him, because he himself doesn’t know what he’s writing. Is Jack from Oceanside really Jack from Oceanside, or is he a spammer? Mr. Stark, at some places in the post, says the former, and at other places he says the latter. Who achieved this victory over Rush, is it Jack from Oceanside, or Mike Stark? The first half of Mr. Stark’s post seems to indicate this is Jack’s victory and Jack’s alone; the second half is a rigorous exercise in self-glorification and gratification, that more spamming is on the way because Stark is “not hidin’ and not quittin’.” Oops? I thought when Jack called Rush, you were looking for a place in Charlottesville?

Mike Stark doesn’t seem to know what he’s saying anymore. There’s a lesson here: Sow the seeds of un-reality, and thus shall you reap.

You can also get sued. Michael Moore, who has become a hero of sorts to the left for putting stuff on film that appears to be different from what it really is, has been sued for $85 million by a double-amputee vet. The content of the film appears to indicate the vet is opposed to the War on Terror, when actually Sgt. Peter Damon agrees with and supports the war effort.

The National Guardsman lost both his arms when a tyre on a Black Hawk helicopter exploded while he and a colleague were servicing the aircraft on the ground in Iraq. Another soldier was killed in the explosion.

In Moore’s documentary, Sgt Damon is shown lying on a stretcher with his wounds bandaged. He says he feels like he is “being crushed in a vise”.

The clip is screened shortly after US Congressman Jim McDermott is seen speaking about the Bush administration: “You know, they say they’re not leaving any veterans behind, but they’re leaving all kinds of veterans behind”.

The sergeant, from Middleborough, Massachusetts, claims that by putting the news clip of him immediately after the Congressman’s comments, director Moore made Sgt Damon appear as if he felt “left behind” by the military and the Bush administration.

Sgt Damon maintains he was complaining about “the excruciating type of pain” that he was suffering as a result of his wounds.

The National Guardsman stated in case papers that he “agrees with and supports the President and the United States’ war effort, and he was not left behind”.

This is probably a publicity lawsuit; I have little reason to think Mr. Moore will actually have to part with $85 mil over this. But it helps to highlight what just about everyone, privately, already knows, easy as it may be to forget in public. Moore is a talented illusionist, not a maker of documentaries. What makes Michael Moore famous? What makes him popular? His stuff appears to be something different than what it really is. This is what showcases his talent. If he was good at putting films together, but the films comported perfectly with reality, we’d have no clue who the guy was.

Being a liberal, say the liberals, is supposed to be about “speaking truth to power.” But whenever it’s time for party balloons and champagne and kazoos in liberal-land, it seems the previous events that called for the celebration have very little to do with “truth.” The people who call themselves liberals, are placed in a state of euphoria when something has been presented in a way that finds favor with them. And the substance contradicts the presentation.

Always, there is the sense of urgency in the celebration. Drink up. Wait too long, and reality is sure to tug on that presentation the way gravity tugs on a house of cards.